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黄河流域城市经济韧性的时空分异及其驱动因素OA北大核心CHSSCDCSTPCD

Spatio-temporal differences and driving factors of urban economic resilience in the Yellow River Basin

中文摘要英文摘要

黄河流域是我国经济发展的重要区域,增强城市经济韧性是推动其经济高质量发展的关键举措.基于2005-2020年黄河流域78个城市面板数据,从3个维度构建黄河流域城市经济韧性评价体系,采用熵值法度量,在测算结果基础上对黄河流域城市经济韧性的时空演变趋势进行分析,以明晰其时空分异性,并探究时空分异的驱动因素.结果发现:①时间演变趋势上,黄河流域多数城市经济韧性呈上升趋势,下游地区城市经济韧性最强且增速最快;②空间演变趋势上,高经济韧性和较高经济韧性城市主要集中在省会及其周边地区,流域内城市经济韧性具有显著的集聚趋势,且其集聚趋势有所增强;③在时空分异驱动因素上,居民风险抵抗能力、政府政策扶持力度、市场规模等差异对黄河流域整体城市经济韧性时空分异驱动作用较大,上中下游地区城市经济韧性时空分异的主导因素各不相同,任意两个驱动因素的交互作用均会增强单一因素对城市经济韧性时空分异的解释力.

The Yellow River Basin is an important region for China's economic development.It is a key measure to promote its high-quality economic development by enhancing the economic resilience.This paper established an economic resilience evaluation index system from three dimensions,and applied the entropy value method to measure the economic resilience in the Yellow River Basin based on the panel data of 78 cities in this basin from 2005 to 2020.This paper analyzed the spatio-temporal tendency of economic resilience in the Yellow River Basin,to clarify the spatio-temporal differentiation and explore the driving factors of the differentiation.The results showed that:①In terms of time evolution trend,the economic resilience of most cities in the Yellow River Basin was on the rise,and the downstream cities had the strongest economic resilience.②In terms of spatial evolution trend,the cities with advanced economic resili-ence were mainly concentrated in the provincial capital or its surrounding areas.The economic resilience of the cities showed an increas-ingly significant agglomeration trend.③In terms of spatio-temporal differentiation,residents'risk resistance ability,government policy support and market size had shown significant effect on the spatiotemporal differences of economic resilience in the Yellow River Basin.The leading factors for the spatio-temporal differentiation of economic resilience in the upper,middle and lower basins were different.Furthermore,the interaction of any two driving factors would enhance the explanatory power of a single factor to the spatio-temporal differentiation of economic resilience.

梁静波;李倩倩

信阳师范大学商学院,河南信阳 464000江苏大学财经学院,江苏镇江 212013

经济学

城市经济韧性时空分异驱动因素黄河流域

urban economic resiliencespatio-temporal differencesdriving factorsthe Yellow River Basin

《资源开发与市场》 2024 (002)

240-253 / 14

国家社会科学基金项目(编号:22BZZ039).

10.3969/j.issn.1005-8141.2024.02.009

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