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基于BP-DEMATEL的山西省冬小麦水足迹影响因素识别

韩宇平 马伏枥 贾冬冬 黄会平 张庚辰 苗浩东

水资源保护2024,Vol.40Issue(2):9-15,7.
水资源保护2024,Vol.40Issue(2):9-15,7.DOI:10.3880/j.issn.1004-6933.2024.02.002

基于BP-DEMATEL的山西省冬小麦水足迹影响因素识别

Identification of influencing factors on water footprint of winter wheat in Shanxi Province based on BP-DEMATEL

韩宇平 1马伏枥 2贾冬冬 1黄会平 1张庚辰 2苗浩东2

作者信息

  • 1. 华北水利水电大学水资源学院,河南 郑州 450045||华北水利水电大学河南省黄河流域水资源节约集约利用重点实验室,河南 郑州 450045
  • 2. 华北水利水电大学水资源学院,河南 郑州 450045
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In response to the historical evolution of winter wheat water footprint in Shanxi Province and the identification of key influencing factors,the historical evolution law of winter wheat water footprint in Shanxi Province from 1993 to 2021 was analyzed.The key influencing factors of winter wheat water footprint evolution were identified using the BP nueural network-decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory(BP-DEMATEL)model,which was divided into driving factors and characteristic factors,and the mechanism of action between the influencing factors was revealed.The results show that from 1993 to 2021,the water footprint and yield water footprint of winter wheat in Shanxi Province showed a downward trend.In 2021,the total water footprint of winter wheat in Shanxi Province was2.7×108 m3(blue water accounted for 57%),with a unit water footprint of 1122m3/t.Compared to the previous high point,it has decreased by 38%(compared to 1994)and 21%(compared to 1993),respectively.Temperature,relative humidity,and irrigation area are key driving factors for the evolution of winter wheat water footprint,while fertilizer application and total power of agricultural machinery are key characteristic factors.

关键词

BP神经网络-决策实验室模型/水足迹/冬小麦/山西省

Key words

BP nueural network-decision-making trial and evaluation laboratory model/water footprint/winter wheat/Shanxi Province

分类

建筑与水利

引用本文复制引用

韩宇平,马伏枥,贾冬冬,黄会平,张庚辰,苗浩东..基于BP-DEMATEL的山西省冬小麦水足迹影响因素识别[J].水资源保护,2024,40(2):9-15,7.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金青年科学基金项目(52009043) (52009043)

河南省软科学研究计划项目(222400410118) (222400410118)

水资源保护

OA北大核心CSTPCDEI

1004-6933

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