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空间断点回归交互效应模型设定方法及其应用

戚兆坤 隋博文 李红

统计与决策2024,Vol.40Issue(5):50-55,6.
统计与决策2024,Vol.40Issue(5):50-55,6.DOI:10.13546/j.cnki.tjyjc.2024.05.009

空间断点回归交互效应模型设定方法及其应用

Setting Method of Interactive Effect Model in Spatial Discontinuity Regression and Its Application

戚兆坤 1隋博文 2李红3

作者信息

  • 1. 北部湾大学 北部湾海洋发展研究中心,广西 钦州 535011
  • 2. 北部湾大学 经济管理学院,广西 钦州 535011
  • 3. 广西大学 经济学院,南宁 530000
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The experimental scenario using spatial discontinuity regression to realize statistical inference of causality deter-mines that the interactive effect is its intrinsic feature.The existing methods for setting up interactive effect models have not fully considered the spatial relationship between variables,limiting their application to micro-level analysis.In the framework of spatial discontinuity regression analysis,this paper proposes a more generalized approach to modeling interactive effects,expands its ap-plication to macro-level analysis such as inter-regional differences,and fully explores the main statistical assumptions,model set-ting methods,and statistical inference methods for identifying interactive effects,as well as the impact of neglecting interactive ef-fects.Based on this approach,an experimental design,statistical inference,and evaluation are conducted on the economic effects of Chongqing upgraded to a municipality directly under the central government.The empirical analysis is shown as follows:When the interactive effect model is properly used for statistical inference,both the estimated values of the treatment effect and the inter-active effect are significantly positive,and the t-test of the treatment effect is more significant,and its estimated value is signifi-cantly greater than that of the common spatial discontinuity regression model within a certain spatial range.The conclusion is basi-cally robust.

关键词

空间断点回归/交互效应/实验设计/重庆市经济效应

Key words

spatial discontinuity regression/interactive effect/design of experiments/economic effect of Chongqing Munici-pality

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

戚兆坤,隋博文,李红..空间断点回归交互效应模型设定方法及其应用[J].统计与决策,2024,40(5):50-55,6.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金资助项目(71763002) (71763002)

国家社会科学基金资助项目(22XGL006) (22XGL006)

广西学位与研究生教育改革课题(JGY2020175) (JGY2020175)

统计与决策

OA北大核心CHSSCDCSSCICSTPCD

1002-6487

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