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中国农业农村现代化的时空演变特征及影响因素分析

杨头平 钟桂珍

统计与决策2024,Vol.40Issue(5):94-99,6.
统计与决策2024,Vol.40Issue(5):94-99,6.DOI:10.13546/j.cnki.tjyjc.2024.05.017

中国农业农村现代化的时空演变特征及影响因素分析

Spatiotemporal Evolution Characteristics and Influencing Factors of China's Agricultural and Rural Modernization

杨头平 1钟桂珍1

作者信息

  • 1. 江西财经大学 统计与数据科学学院,南昌 330013
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Agricultural and rural modernization is an inevitable choice for high-quality agricultural development,and it is al-so one of the key goals to achieve Chinese-style modernization.This paper scientifically constructs the evaluation index system of agricultural and rural modernization,statistically measures the level of agricultural and rural modernization in China from 2002 to 2021,analyzes its spatiotemporal evolution characteristics,and identifies its influencing factors,explores its influencing mecha-nism,and quantitatively measures the influence degree of each factor.The research results are shown as follows:From 2002 to 2021,the overall level of agricultural and rural modernization in China has shown an upward trend,and the regional differences have gradually narrowed,and the regional differences are the main source of the overall differences in China's agricultural and ru-ral modernization.In 2021,the agricultural and rural modernization index of each region in China showed a decreasing trend from the east to the west,and there was a significant positive spatial correlation,but the spatial agglomeration trend continued to evolve with time,and the high-value agglomeration areas were mainly distributed in the eastern region.Economic development level,ur-banization level,and digital inclusive finance have a positive effect on China's agricultural and rural modernization,while indus-trialization level has a certain negative impact on agricultural and rural modernization;fiscal support degree for agriculture has no significant impact on agricultural and rural modernization.

关键词

农业农村现代化/区域差异/时空特征/影响因素

Key words

agricultural and rural modernization/regional differences/spatiotemporal characteristics/influencing factors

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

杨头平,钟桂珍..中国农业农村现代化的时空演变特征及影响因素分析[J].统计与决策,2024,40(5):94-99,6.

基金项目

国家社会科学基金重点项目(22AZD139) (22AZD139)

江西省科技厅项目(20202BBA208012) (20202BBA208012)

江西省研究生创新专项资金资助项目(YC2022-B148) (YC2022-B148)

统计与决策

OA北大核心CHSSCDCSSCICSTPCD

1002-6487

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