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基于XGBoost的内陆河湖浊度反演与长时序分析

李媛媛 沈芳 陈嵩钰 魏小岛

环境工程学报2024,Vol.18Issue(2):398-408,11.
环境工程学报2024,Vol.18Issue(2):398-408,11.DOI:10.12030/j.cjee.202309125

基于XGBoost的内陆河湖浊度反演与长时序分析

Inversion and long-term series analysis of turbidity in inland rivers and lakes based on XGBoost

李媛媛 1沈芳 1陈嵩钰 1魏小岛2

作者信息

  • 1. 华东师范大学河口海岸学国家重点实验室,上海 200241
  • 2. 上海勘测设计研究院有限公司,上海 200050||中国长江三峡集团有限公司长江生态环境工程研究中心(上海),上海 200050
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摘要

Abstract

Turbidity is one of the key elements affecting the underwater light field and nutrient cycling.Turbidity monitoring can provide a scientific basis for pollution prevention,control,and early warning of river and lake water quality.The typical rivers and lakes in the demonstration zone of the Yangtze River Delta were taken as the study area.The turbidity inversion model was constructed using in-situ data,based on which the long-term dynamic changes of turbidity in the rivers and lakes of the study area were analyzed using a total of 323 Landsat TM/ETM+/OLI images from 1984 to 2022.Through the comparison between the traditional empirical model,semi-empirical model,and machine learning model,the machine learning model named XGBoost demonstrated the highest accuracy(R2 and RMSE were 0.68 and 4.78 NTU,respectively).The results of turbidity inversion showed that,in the last 40 years,turbidity in the river channel and the northern non-fishing area of Dianshan Lake increased by 10%and 12%,respectively,while turbidity in Yuandang Lake and Dalian Lake decreased by 19%and 27%,respectively.Moreover,it was found that turbidity increased with the expansion of the built-up land area.The seasonal variation of turbidity in the study area was significant and the average turbidity in autumn and winter was 6 NTU higher than that in spring and summer.The monthly average turbidity was negatively correlated with the monthly average precipitation(r=-0.61,p<0.05),but its correlation with the monthly average wind speed was found to be insignificant.The XGBoost-based long-term inversion of turbidity from Landsat images can not only capture the spatiotemporal trend of turbidity in the study area,but also reveal the direction of water pollution management and control,eventually contributing to the integrated development of the Yangtze River Delta.

关键词

浊度/XGBoost/Landsat/长时序/长三角示范区

Key words

turbidity/XGBoost/Landsat/long-term series/demonstration zone of the Yangtze River Delta

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资源环境

引用本文复制引用

李媛媛,沈芳,陈嵩钰,魏小岛..基于XGBoost的内陆河湖浊度反演与长时序分析[J].环境工程学报,2024,18(2):398-408,11.

基金项目

上海市科委重点项目(20dz 1204700) (20dz 1204700)

中国长江三峡集团有限公司科研项目资助(202103552) (202103552)

环境工程学报

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1673-9108

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