交通信息与安全2023，Vol.41Issue(6)：42-50,9.DOI:10.3963/j.jssn.1674-4861.2023.06.005
典型机型冲偏出跑道耦合故障模式及风险建模
Coupling Failure Mode and Risk Modeling of Typical Aircrafts Runway Excursion
摘要
Abstract
Runway excursion is identified as high-risk event by the International Air Transport Association.To ex-plore the pattern of runway excursion incidents in global civil aviation and to explore the influencing factors and their coupling characteristics,the investigation reports of 57 runway excursion incidents of typical aircraft types from 2007 to 2018 are analyzed from the perspectives of number of casualties,aircraft types and causes of the inci-dents.The HFACS model and SHELL model are used to compensate for the limitations of using a single method considering the diversity and complexity of influencing factors of runway excursion incidents.Specifically,the HFACS model is optimized and adopted to vertically analyze the influence of human factors in the runway excur-sion event,change the traditional method of the SHELL model to analyze the coupling influence of multiple factors in the runway excursion event systematically and comprehensively and use the FMEA method to explore the cou-pling effect of multiple influencing factors in the runway excursion event and find 18 multifactor coupling failure modes that induce the runway excursion.The results showed that the risk priority of the failure modes is quantified by identifying the occurrence,severity,and detection of the failure modes.The results showed that 91.2%of the run-way excursion events occurred in the landing phase,and 87.7%of the runway excursion events were related to the crew human influence,among which insufficient control of the aircraft occurred most frequently,accounting for 31.1%.Multi-factor coupling caused 78.9%of the events,and the risk priority value of failure mode F2-1 crew fac-tors and meteorological factors in multi-factor coupling failure mode is the highest at 364.8,with an occurrence rate of 21.05%,which is the object that needs to be focused on prevention and control,indicating that pilots need to strengthen the simulation training of runway excursion under complex weather conditions.关键词
民航安全/冲偏出跑道风险/人为因素/影响因素挖掘/耦合故障模式Key words
civil aviation safety/runway excursion risk/human factors/influencing factors mining/coupling failure modes分类
资源环境引用本文复制引用
王菲茵,袁锦彤,汪磊..典型机型冲偏出跑道耦合故障模式及风险建模[J].交通信息与安全,2023,41(6):42-50,9.基金项目
天津市自然科学基金项目(23JCQNJC00230)、中国民航局安全能力建设资金项目(KJZ49420210076)、天津市教委科研计划项目(2023KJ230)资助 （23JCQNJC00230）
