新疆师范大学学报（自然科学版）2024，Vol.43Issue(2)：86-96,11.
中国与中亚国家跨境电商贸易潜力及创新模式研究
Research on the Potential and Innovation Model of Cross-border E-commerce Trade between China and Central Asian Countries
摘要
Abstract
The five Central Asian countries,located in the Silk Road Economic Belt,are the regions with the fastest trade growth between China and the countries along the the Belt and Road.In recent years,with the globalization of the digital economy,cross-border e-commerce trade between China and Central Asian countries has developed rapidly.Scientifically measuring the development level of cross-border e-commerce in various countries,identifying favorable factors,and deeply exploring the growth potential of cross-border e-commerce trade between China and Central Asian countries,as well as exploring suitable development models,is of great significance for promoting high-quality trade development and forming a new development pattern.First of all,the principal component analy-sis method was used to build a comprehensive indicator system to objectively evaluate the development level of cross-border e-commerce in Central Asian countries from eleven indicators in terms of Internet communication technology level,logistics efficiency,customs clearance efficiency and education and scientific research level.It was concluded that during the inspection period,the development level of cross-border e-commerce in the five Central Asian countries was on the rise,and the development level of cross-border e-commerce in various countries also showed significant differences.The conclusion is that Uzbekistan ranks first among the five Central Asian countries in terms of cross-border e-commerce development level.Furthermore,using the panel data related to cross-bor-der e-commerce trade between China and the five Central Asian countries,this paper quantitatively evaluates the influencing factors and potential of cross-border e-commerce trade between China and the five Central Asian coun-tries by using the expanded gravity model.The empirical results show that,in the sample period,the factors of eco-nomic development level,cross-border e-commerce development level,Internet application and opening up lev-el have significant promoting effects on cross-border e-commerce import and export trade between China and the five Central Asian countries,It means that with the economic growth,the development cross-border e-commerce has been improved,the Internet application has been more extensive,and and level of opening up has been continuously improved,China's cross-border e-commerce trade potential with Central Asian countries will continue to release.Fi-nally,based on the measurement of the potential value using the extended gravity model,the potential status of cross-border e-commerce trade between China and the five Central Asian countries is classified from"potential reshaping,potential expansion,and huge potential",in order to implement classified strategies,further explore the potential of cross-border e-commerce trade,actively explore new models of cross-border e-commerce,and build a community with a shared future in cyberspace and a closer China Central Asia community with a shared future.In particular,seize the opportunity of the construction of China(Xinjiang)Pilot Free Trade Zone,actively serve and in-tegrate into the new development pattern,drive the high-quality development of trade between China and Central Asian countries with cross-border e-commerce,effectively support the construction of the Silk Road Economic Belt,and promote the stability of the"the Belt and Road".关键词
中亚国家/跨境电商/贸易潜力/创新模式Key words
Central Asian countries/Cross-border e-commerce/Trade potential/Innovation model分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
王乾润,李全胜..中国与中亚国家跨境电商贸易潜力及创新模式研究[J].新疆师范大学学报（自然科学版）,2024,43(2):86-96,11.基金项目
2023年度自治区高校科研计划一般项目(XJEDU2023P079) （XJEDU2023P079）
2023年度新疆师范大学智库招标课题(ZK202327C). （ZK202327C）
