宁夏大学学报（自然科学版）2024，Vol.45Issue(1)：87-96,10.
近30a城市土地利用变化模拟研究进展
Research Progress in Urban Land Use Change Simulation Over the Past Thirty Years
摘要
Abstract
The simulation of urban land use change is a research hotspot in the field of land science.This study employs a comprehensive literature review,summarizing findings,and logical reasoning to examine both theo-retical and practical progress in urban land use change simulations,both domestically and internationally.The aim is to distill the achievements,identify gaps,and discern future research trends to inform urban land use research and decision-making processes in urban land management.Findings indicate that research in urban land use change simulation has evolved from single-variable quantity or spatial predictions to more complex,multi-scenario,and multi-model coupling approaches.The theoretical framework and simulation methods for urban land use change have gradually improved,with increased stakeholder participation in scenario setting,simula-tion,and result validation.However,there are limitations in the current research:a lack of studies on global and local scales,relatively homogenous simulation methods,and immature result validation techniques,with an over-reliance on historical data for verification.Future efforts in urban land use change simulation should focus on enhancing the scalability and reliability of simulation models.This will further enable the prediction and explanation of land use change patterns and processes and advance the application of scenario simulations in decision-support contexts.关键词
城市土地/土地利用变化/土地利用变化模拟/情景模拟/模拟预测Key words
urban land/simulation of land use change/scenario simulation/simulation-based prediction分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
李沐春,李柏延,王昀琛..近30a城市土地利用变化模拟研究进展[J].宁夏大学学报（自然科学版）,2024,45(1):87-96,10.基金项目
国家自然科学基金资助项目(42101259,42371101,42301455) （42101259,42371101,42301455）
秦创原引用高层次创新创业人才基金资助项目(QCYRCXM-2023-066) （QCYRCXM-2023-066）
中国博士后科学基金第5批特别资助(站前)项目(2023TQ0207) （站前）
中央高校基本科研业务费专项基金资助项目(GK202304024) （GK202304024）
陕西师范大学教学改革研究基金资助项目(23GGYS-JG06) （23GGYS-JG06）
