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机器学习算法构建慢性肾脏病伴高血压或糖尿病的预测模型

曾慧娟 田波 袁红伶 何杰 李冠羲 茹国佳 许敏 詹东

昆明医科大学学报2024,Vol.45Issue(3):99-105,7.
昆明医科大学学报2024,Vol.45Issue(3):99-105,7.DOI:10.12259/j.issn.2095-610X.S20240315

机器学习算法构建慢性肾脏病伴高血压或糖尿病的预测模型

Predictive Modeling of Chronic Kidney Disease with Hypertension or Diabetes Based on Machine Learning Algorithms

曾慧娟 1田波 2袁红伶 1何杰 1李冠羲 1茹国佳 1许敏 1詹东3

作者信息

  • 1. 昆明医科大学第一附属医院肾脏内二科,云南 昆明 650032
  • 2. 云南省第一人民医院科研科,云南 昆明 650034
  • 3. 昆明医科大学基础医学院,云南 昆明 650500
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Objective To build the early predictive model for chronic kidney disease(CKD)in hypertension and diabetes patients in the community.Methods The CKD patients were recruited from 4 health care centers in 4 urban areas in Kunming.The control group was residents without hypertension and diabetes(n = 1267).The disease group was residents with hypertension and/or diabetes(n = 566).The questionnaire survey,physical examination,laboratory testing,and 5 SNPs gene types in the PVT1 gene.The risk factors,which were filtered with logistics regression,were used to build predictive models.Four machine learning algorithms were built:support vector machine(SVM),random forest(RF),Naïve Bayes(NB),and artificial neural network(ANN)models.Results Thirteen indicators included in the final diagnostic model:age,disease type,ethnicity,blood urea nitrogen,creatinine,eGFR from MDRD,ACR,eGFR from EPI2009,PAM13 score,sleep quality survey,staying-up late,PVT1 SNP rs11993333 and rs2720659.The accuracy,specificity,Kappa value,AUC of ROC,and PRC of ANN are greater than those of the other 3 models.The sensitivity of RF is the highest among 4 types of machine learning.Conclusions The ANN predictive model has a good ability of efficiency and classification to predict CKD with hypertension and/or diabetes patients in the community.

关键词

慢性肾脏病/机器学习/预测模型/高血压/糖尿病

Key words

Chronic kidney disease/Machine learning/Predictive modeling/Hypertension/Diabetes

分类

医药卫生

引用本文复制引用

曾慧娟,田波,袁红伶,何杰,李冠羲,茹国佳,许敏,詹东..机器学习算法构建慢性肾脏病伴高血压或糖尿病的预测模型[J].昆明医科大学学报,2024,45(3):99-105,7.

基金项目

云南省教育厅科学研究基金资助项目(2022J0268) (2022J0268)

昆明医科大学第一附属医院博士科研基金资助项目(2021BS018) (2021BS018)

昆明医科大学学报

OACSTPCD

1003-4706

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