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2023年国内外油气行业发展及2024年展望

钱兴坤 陆如泉 罗良才 吴谋远 廖钦

国际石油经济2024,Vol.32Issue(2):1-13,13.
国际石油经济2024,Vol.32Issue(2):1-13,13.

2023年国内外油气行业发展及2024年展望

Global oil and gas industry in 2023 and outlook for 2024

钱兴坤 1陆如泉 1罗良才 1吴谋远 1廖钦1

作者信息

  • 1. 中国石油集团经济技术研究院
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In 2023,the global energy pattern profoundly adjusted,and green low-carbon transition steadily facilitated.International oil prices fluctuated and fell,and natural gas prices fell back from a high level.Investment in oil and gas exploration and development maintained growth,and oil and gas production continued to double.Refining and ethylene production capacity continued to grow,and its gross margins declined in genera.Big oil companies re-enforced the upstream of oil and gas,and emphasized both carbon reduction and profitability.The consensus on carbon emission reduction further unified,and the influence of the carbon market continued to increase.China's oil and gas industry is based on safe and clean development,the energy industry policy system has accelerated its improvement.The construction of a new type of energy system has been boosted orderly.The consumption of refined oil products and natural gas has recovered,and the"one network in the whole country"has been accelerated its perfection.Oil and gas production and reserves have maintained their growth,and"deep water,deep land,and unconventional resources"have become the main areas for increasing reserves and production.Refining capacity continued to grow slightly,and the production capacity of bulk petrochemical products showed an expanding trend.The pace of carbon market construction accelerated,and so on.It is expected that the international oil market fundamentals from tight balance to oversupply,the natural gas market will continue to keep the fragile balance,geopolitical tensions and its spillover effects will continue to promote oil and gas prices fluctuate significantly.Energy transition will be more rational and pragmatic,construction of energy resilience systems based on the development of safety and efficiency has gradually become a consensus.The domestic economy is picking up momentum,which will further drive the energy industry to rebound.Deepening the reform of the energy system and mechanism,accelerating the construction of a new type of energy system,and guaranteeing the security and stability of energy supply are still important tasks of the energy industry in 2024.

关键词

油气行业/产量/消费量/价格/炼油能力/能源转型/低碳

Key words

oil and gas industry/production/consumption/price/refining capacity/energy transition/low carbon

引用本文复制引用

钱兴坤,陆如泉,罗良才,吴谋远,廖钦..2023年国内外油气行业发展及2024年展望[J].国际石油经济,2024,32(2):1-13,13.

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