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灰色马尔科夫链在低压光伏弃电量统计中的应用

赵泽昆

电器与能效管理技术Issue(3):71-78,8.
电器与能效管理技术Issue(3):71-78,8.DOI:10.16628/j.cnki.2095-8188.2024.03.012

灰色马尔科夫链在低压光伏弃电量统计中的应用

Application of Grey Markov Chain in Statistics Low Voltage Photovoltaic Energy Abandonment Statistics

赵泽昆1

作者信息

  • 1. 国网河南省电力公司新乡供电公司,河南新乡 453000
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The abandoned power of low voltage distributed photovoltaics,as an important criterion for regional division and energy storage capacity configuration,has long been unable to be accurately calculated.Starting with the source network load storage system,a low-voltage distributed photovoltaic curtailment statistical model is established based on grey Markov chain.The dual scenario of"weather+time"is used to construct a state transition matrix to statistically analyze the low voltage distributed photovoltaic energy abandonment.The test results show that the proposed method can accurately obtain low voltage distributed photovoltaic energy abandonment data and control the maximum error within 5%,which has certain promotional value.

关键词

灰色马尔科夫链/低压分布式光伏/源网荷储系统/弃电量

Key words

grey markov chain/low voltage distributed photovoltaics/source grid load storage system/energy abandonment

分类

信息技术与安全科学

引用本文复制引用

赵泽昆..灰色马尔科夫链在低压光伏弃电量统计中的应用[J].电器与能效管理技术,2024,(3):71-78,8.

电器与能效管理技术

2095-8188

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