电气传动2024,Vol.54Issue(4):75-84,10.DOI:10.19457/j.1001-2095.dqcd24696
基于ESS演化博弈的电力市场风险监管防范策略研究
Study of Risk Regulatory and Prevention Strategy of Electricity Market Based on ESS Evolution Game Theory
摘要
Abstract
With the continuous promotion of the"double carbon"strategy,the reformation of China's electricity market has entered a new stage,but the overall construction of the electricity market is still in the primary stage,and there is an urgent need to develop a scientific and feasible regulatory prevention strategy.An iterative model of"evolution game—optimized clearing"was established between regulators and risky subjects.A library of market risk and profit indicators was formed.And the risk prevention strategy was quantitatively constructed for the electricity market.The evolutionary stabilization strategy and market risk changes in the process of continuous game interaction between the two participants was explored.Iterative simulations base on real data,the simulation results show that when the market risk is high,after limited rounds of evolutionary game,the regulatory prevention strategy can reduce the degree of transaction risk,which verifies the effectiveness of the regulatory prevention strategy.The proposed method can provide theoretical support for the formulation of electricity market regulatory strategy.关键词
电力市场风险/量化监管防范策略/演化博弈/优化出清Key words
power market risk/quantitative regulatory prevention strategy/evolution game/optimal market clearing分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
周浩,丁羽,魏旭,李雪松,樊天荣..基于ESS演化博弈的电力市场风险监管防范策略研究[J].电气传动,2024,54(4):75-84,10.基金项目
国网科技项目(J2021199) (J2021199)