汉江流域粮食生产碳排放与经济发展的脱钩关系研究OACSTPCD
Decoupling relationship between carbon emissions from grain production and economic development in the Hanjiang River Basin
汉江流域水资源丰富,是我国重要的粮食主产区,研究汉江流域粮食生产碳排放对促进农业绿色高质量可持续发展具有重要意义.采用排放系数法测算汉江流域 2008-2021年时空尺度下的粮食生产碳排放总量和结构,并通过Tapio脱钩模型分析其与经济发展之间的脱钩关系.研究发现,2008-2021年碳排放总量年际间虽存在一定波动,但总体呈现上升趋势;农业生产要素中土地翻耕和化肥使用所产生的碳排放量比重较大;汉江流域整体呈现弱脱钩状态,上游以强脱钩状态为主,下游为弱脱钩状态;汉江流域各县区的经济发展与粮食生产碳排放脱钩状态存在时空差异,2014-2017年多地呈负脱钩状态.汉江流域粮食生产碳减排效果显著,粮食生产能力有效提升,农业经济发展也取得一定成效.
The Hanjiang River Basin is rich in water resources and is an important grain-producing area in China.It is of great significance to study the carbon emission of grain production in the Hanjiang River Basin to promote the green,high-quality,and sustainable development of agriculture.The emission coefficient method was used to estimate the total carbon emissions and structure of grain production in the Hanjiang River Basin from 2008 to 2021,and the decoupling relationship between carbon emissions and economic development was analyzed by the Tapio decoupling model.It was found total carbon emissions showed an overall upward trend,although there was a certain annual fluctuation.Among agricultural production factors,the proportion of carbon emissions from land plowing and fertilizer use was larger.The Hanjiang River basin as a whole presented a weak decoupling state,with strong decoupling in the upper reaches and weak decoupling in the lower reaches.There were temporal and spatial differences between economic development and carbon emissions from grain production in the counties of the Hanjiang River Basin,with negative decoupling in most of the counties from 2014 to 2017.The carbon emission reduction effect of grain production in the Hanjiang River Basin was remarkable,the grain production capacity was effectively improved,and the agricultural economic development also achieved certain results.
陈佳;张玲玲
河海大学公共管理学院,南京 211100
环境科学
粮食生产碳排放Tapio脱钩模型汉江流域经济发展
grain productioncarbon emissionTapio decoupling modelHan River Basineconomic development
《环境保护科学》 2024 (002)
67-72 / 6
国家自然科学基金项目(72074068、51579064);中央高校基本科研业务费项目(B230207025);江苏省社科基金重点项目(22SHA003)
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