林草政策研究2023，Vol.3Issue(3)：31-38,8.DOI:10.12344/lczcyj.2023.09.06.0004
高质量发展背景下中国林业产业结构转型升级影响因素分析
Influence Factor Analysis of Transformation and Upgrading of China's Forestry Industry Structure Under the Context of High-quality Development:Based on Provincial Spatial Panel Data in 2017-2021
摘要
Abstract
Based on the panel data of 30 provinces from 2017 to 2021,this paper uses the Markov transfer matrix to calculate the development speeds of the primary,secondary and tertiary forestry industries and their contribution rate to the total output value.The results show that the forestry's tertiary industry develops the fastest but contributes the least to the growth of forestry economy.Then,the impact path of transformation and upgrading of the forestry industry structure is analyzed using Spatial Autoregression Model.The results indicate that among the forestry industry factors,the influence of forestry employee and worker with college degree and above on the transformation and upgrading of forestry industry structure is significantly positively correlated.However,there is a significantly negative correlation between the average salary of the employees,the afforestation area of each province and the transformation and upgrading of forestry industry structure.Among the macroeconomic factors,regional GDP and scientific research investment both play a significant role in promoting the transformation and upgrading of forestry industry structure.On this basis,the paper proposes that local governments should increase the policy support to high-quality forestry development,human capital optimization should be promoted to improve forestry industry structure,the forestry's tertiary industry should be better enhanced to improve its development and utilization,more effort should be taken to enhance the fiscal support to forestry and the investment to scientific research.The study is aimed to provide references to realizing the high-quality development of forestry in China and accelerating the upgrading and optimization of forestry industrial structure.关键词
高质量发展/林业产业结构/转型升级/马尔科夫转移矩阵/空间计量分析Key words
high-quality development/forestry industry structure/transformation and upgrading/markov transfer matrix/spatial econometric analysis分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
张少鹏,任阳阳,朱震锋,朱洪革..高质量发展背景下中国林业产业结构转型升级影响因素分析[J].林草政策研究,2023,3(3):31-38,8.基金项目
国家社会科学基金青年项目"数字赋能国有林区生态保护修复效率提升路径研究"(23CGL063) （23CGL063）
教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金资助项目"城市群减污降碳的动态空间关联、协同效应与路径优化研究"(23YJC790036) （23YJC790036）
