水力发电2024，Vol.50Issue(4)：81-86,6.
水电工程定量综合风险评价方法优化研究及应用
Optimization Research and Application of Quantitative Comprehensive Risk Assessment Method for Hydropower Projects
袁东成 1王继琳 2张晓光 1潘建 1贾超2
作者信息
- 1. 中国电建集团中南勘测设计研究院有限公司,湖南 长沙 410014
- 2. 水电水利规划设计总院,北京 100120||水电水利规划设计总院有限公司,北京 100011
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
In response to the subjective shortcomings of current quantitative comprehensive risk assessment methods for hydropower projects,a new quantitative comprehensive risk assessment model is proposed to calculate the comprehensive risk value and comprehensive risk level quantitatively by establishing a fuzzy relationship matrix and a risk mutual judgment matrix,and by establishing the judgment criterion between the calculated comprehensive risk level and the safety evaluation conclusion,the overall risk level and evaluation conclusion of the project is obtained.The quantitative comprehensive risk assessment method is verified by taking the safety pre-assessment of Xinjiang Ruoqiang Pumped-storage Power Station Project as an example.The results show that the evaluation conclusion is in line with the project practice,and the quantitative comprehensive risk assessment optimization method can be applied to the safety pre-assessment and safety acceptance evaluation of hydropower projects.关键词
水电工程/定量综合风险评价/主观性缺陷/优化/安全评价Key words
hydropower project/quantitative comprehensive risk assessment/subjective defect/optimization/safety evaluation分类
建筑与水利引用本文复制引用
袁东成,王继琳,张晓光,潘建,贾超..水电工程定量综合风险评价方法优化研究及应用[J].水力发电,2024,50(4):81-86,6.
