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海南岛天然橡胶产量和气候适宜度相关性研究

佟金鹤 张卫红 刘少军 甘业星

生态科学2024,Vol.43Issue(1):154-159,6.
生态科学2024,Vol.43Issue(1):154-159,6.DOI:10.14108/j.cnki.1008-8873.2024.01.018

海南岛天然橡胶产量和气候适宜度相关性研究

Correlation between natural rubber yield and climate suitability in Hainan Island

佟金鹤 1张卫红 2刘少军 1甘业星1

作者信息

  • 1. 海南省气象科学研究所/海南省南海气象防灾减灾重点实验室, 海口 570203
  • 2. 河北省气象科学研究所, 石家庄 050022
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The climate suitability index method was used to evaluate the climate suitability of rubber trees in Hainan Island,and the detrending cross-correlation analysis(DCCA)method was selected to analyze the correlation between rubber tree yield and climate suitability.The results showed that rubber tree yield in Hainan Island was lower in the east and west and the lowest value was 657.30 kg·hm-2 which appeared at Wenchang,and the highest value was 1376.54 kg·hm-2 in Sanya.Per unit area yield in the central part of Hainan Island had a small range of change,and in other areas showed a significant increase,with linear tendency rates generally exceeding 10 kg·hm-2·a-1.The central and eastern parts of Hainan Island had a relatively high level of comprehensive suitability,with suitability indexes exceeding 0.70,and a lower suitability level of 0.39 in the west.The temperature and sunshine duration suitability indexes were generally above 0.80 and 0.70,which had small differences in spatial.Precipitation suitability was higher in the central and eastern parts,and was lower in the western and southern parts,overall range from 0.42 to 0.77.The wind speed suitability index was more than 0.75 in the central and southern parts,and was lower in the western and northern parts,with the lowest being 0.18.The results of DCCA analysis showed that there was an obvious long-range correlation between climate suitability and rubber tree yield.The correlation level between precipitation and yield was the highest,and the wind speed was the lowest.Spatially,the correlation in east was weak,and the correlation in the west,north and south was slightly stronger.

关键词

DCCA/天然橡胶产量/气候适宜度指数

Key words

DCCA/natural rubber yield/climate suitability index

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

佟金鹤,张卫红,刘少军,甘业星..海南岛天然橡胶产量和气候适宜度相关性研究[J].生态科学,2024,43(1):154-159,6.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金(41765007) (41765007)

海南省基础与应用基础研究计划(自然科学领域)高层次人才项目(2019RC359) (自然科学领域)

生态科学

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1008-8873

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