中国人口·资源与环境2024，Vol.34Issue(2)：32-45,14.DOI:10.12062/cpre.20221002
绿色金融改革创新试验区政策对碳排放的影响效应
Impact of China's PZGFRI policy on carbon emissions:a quasi-experimental study based on urban panel data from 282 cities
摘要
Abstract
The establishment of pilot zones for green financial reform and innovation(PZGFRI)is one of the important green financial policies in China and an important means to achieve the goals of reaching peak carbon emissions and carbon neutrality.This study first explained the mechanism of the green financial policies on carbon emission reduction by solving the theoretical model.On this basis,the study used panel data from 282 cities in China from 2006 to 2019 to empirically analyze the carbon emission reduction effect of the PZGFRI policy and the mechanism of its mediating effect using a difference-in-differences model.The study also investigated the het-erogeneity of the carbon emission reduction effect of the PZGFRI policy in terms of geographic regions,resource endowments,leading industries,industrial endowments,and the synergistic effects of the pilot zones and low-carbon cities in carbon emission reduction.The results showed that:① The PZGFRI policy had a significant carbon emission reduction effect,and the robustness of the results was fur-ther verified by replacing variables,shrinking the tail treatment,adding control variables,changing the window period,and using the propensity score matching difference-in-differences model and placebo test.② The PZGFRI policy achieved a carbon emission reduc-tion effect at the city level by improving financing constraints for heavy polluters,reducing the carbon emissions of enterprises at the mi-cro level,promoting green technology innovation,and optimizing energy consumption structures at the macro level.③ There was no sig-nificant geographical difference in the carbon emission reduction effect of the PZGFRI policy,but due to the'resource curse'problem in cities with better resource endowments,the carbon emission reduction effect of the pilot zones in resource-based cities was worse than that in non-resource-based cities.④ The carbon emission reduction effect of the PZGFRI policy had a'Matthew effect'in cities with different industrial endowments,and the carbon emission reduction effect was worse in cities with secondary industries and old in-dustrial bases and better in cities with tertiary industries and non-old industrial bases.⑤ There was a significant positive synergistic ef-fect between the PZGFRI and the low-carbon city pilot zones in terms of carbon emission reduction,and the cities with both policies had a better carbon emission reduction effect.关键词
绿色金融/碳排放/绿色技术创新/能源消费结构/协同效应Key words
green finance/carbon emissions/green technology innovation/energy consumption structure/synergistic effect分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
张振华,陈曦,汪京,冯严超..绿色金融改革创新试验区政策对碳排放的影响效应[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2024,34(2):32-45,14.基金项目
国家自然科学基金青年科学基金项目"政策组合的减污降碳效应及其作用路径:基于新能源示范城市的实证研究"(批准号:72304124),国家自然科学基金专项项目"实现双碳目标的能源电力系统转型风险传导机制研究"(批准号:72243006) （批准号:72304124）
中国博士后科学基金第72批面上项目一等资助"数字经济赋能城市高质量发展的动力机制、实证检验与政策优化研究"(批准号:2022M720131) （批准号:2022M720131）
教育部春晖计划合作科研项目"碳中和目标下新能源政策体系的效果预测及协同路径研究"(批准号:202201660) （批准号:202201660）
甘肃省自然科学基金青年科技基金项目"'双碳'目标下绿色金融改革创新试验区绿色低碳发展的作用机理及提升路径研究"(批准号:22JR5RA542) （批准号:22JR5RA542）
甘肃省哲学社会科学规划项目一般项目"'双碳'背景下甘肃新能源产业政策的演进规律、效果模拟与提升策略研究"(批准号:2022YB014). （批准号:2022YB014）
