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能源体系建设进入韧性时代OACHSSCDCSTPCD

Energy system construction entering the era of resilience

中文摘要英文摘要

为探索全球能源安全形势的宏观评价体系,中国石油集团经济技术研究院建立了"RASA全球能源安全评价体系",对从1970年以来的全球安全形势进行了定量评价.认为当前全球能源发展环境正经历深刻转变,四期叠加使能源安全风险更趋复杂难料;能源发展已进入韧性建设的新阶段,增加系统韧性维度使能源安全评价体系更加完善.建议以结构多元、能力充裕、调节灵活、协同高效为目标,构建具有强大韧性的全球能源安全保障体系.在结构多元方面,重点是推进传统能源与新能源多能互补;在能力充裕方面,先立后破,提升能源储备和系统备份能力;在调节灵活方面,重点是推进能源系统的市场化和智能化;在协同高效方面,增强全球能源治理体系,加强利益相关方的合作.

In order to explore changes in the global energy security situation,the China National Petroleum Corporation Institute of Economics and Technology has established the RASA Global Energy Security Assessment System,which quantitatively assesses the global security situation since 1970.It is believed that the current global energy development environment is undergoing a profound transformation,and the superposition of the four periods makes the energy security risk more complicated and unpredictable;energy development has entered a new stage of resilience construction,and the addition of system resilience dimensions makes the energy security evaluation system more complete.It is proposed that a global energy system with strong resilience be established with the goals of structural diversification,abundant capacity,flexible regulation and efficient synergy.In terms of structural diversification,the focus should be on promoting multi-energy complementarity between traditional energy sources and new energy sources;in terms of abundant capacity,it should insist on"establishing the new before abolishing the old",and the energy reserve and system backup capacity should be enhanced;in terms of flexible regulation,the focus should be on promoting the marketization and intelligence of the energy system;and in terms of synergistic and efficient coordination,it should be enhanced to strengthen the global energy governance system and enhance the cooperation among stakeholders.

余国;张鹏程;高慧;王利宁;向征艰

中国石油管理干部学院中国石油集团经济技术研究院

能源转型能源安全定量评价系统韧性能源治理

energy transformationenergy securityquantitative evaluationsystem resilienceenergy governance

《国际石油经济》 2024 (004)

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