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复苏难解行业失衡之困

吕晓东

国际石油经济2024,Vol.32Issue(4):36-42,7.
国际石油经济2024,Vol.32Issue(4):36-42,7.

复苏难解行业失衡之困

Review of global and China petrochemical industry in 2023 and outlook for 2024

吕晓东1

作者信息

  • 1. 中国石化集团经济技术研究院有限公司
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In 2023,global petrochemical industry demand remained subdued and many leading companies began to their strategical contraction.High inflation and under-investment inhibited the recovery of downstream petrochemical product consumption.China's petrochemical industry did not perform as well as expected with exports and property sectors drags.Under the high pressure of the supply side,enterprises took the initiative to reduce loads and increase maintenance stops.Severe losses of C2 and C3 affect the performance of the whole industry.In 2024,geopolitical risks will cast a shadow over the global economy and the expectation of positive demand again and the recovery in consumption due to inventory replenishment and purchasing power enhancement will make it difficult for enterprises to absorb the consecutive years of production capacity expansion.The slowdown in new production capacity also cannot reduce the pace of enterprises to clear out inefficient production capacity.The domestic petrochemical industry is difficult to move forward and adjust in the recovery with its imbalance,reflecting further differentiation of the industry chain,the path to increase the gap between profitability,and contradictions and entanglements of industry transformation.It will get out of trouble with a slower pace in the next few years.

关键词

世界/中国/石化工业/供需/乙烯/合成树脂/合成纤维/合成橡胶

Key words

world/China/petrochemical industry/supply and demand/ethylene/synthetic resin/synthetic fiber/synthetic rubber

引用本文复制引用

吕晓东..复苏难解行业失衡之困[J].国际石油经济,2024,32(4):36-42,7.

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