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基于ELM神经网络的高速公路隧道运营风险评估模型

李然 朱本成 郭云鹏 李凯伦

交通运输研究2024,Vol.10Issue(1):36-44,9.
交通运输研究2024,Vol.10Issue(1):36-44,9.DOI:10.16503/j.cnki.2095-9931.2024.01.005

基于ELM神经网络的高速公路隧道运营风险评估模型

An Operation Risk Assessment Model for Highway Tunnels Based on ELM Neural Network

李然 1朱本成 1郭云鹏 1李凯伦1

作者信息

  • 1. 交通运输部科学研究院交通运输安全研究中心,北京 100010
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

To overcome the problems of traditional operation risk assessment methods of highway tunnels,such as cumbersome calculation process,low computational efficiency and poor generalization ability,this paper conducted an operation risk assessment model of highway tunnels based on the ELM(Extreme Learning Machine)neural network.Firstly,based on the theory of systems engineering,the factors affect-ing operation risk of highway tunnels were analyzed,and the evaluation index system of operation risk was constructed.Then,taking the actual operation accident data of 126 tunnels in China as the sample set,the Sigmoid function was determined as the activation function based on comparing the classification ac-curacy rate and test time of different function.An operation risk assessment model of highway tunnels based on ELM neural network algorithm was trained.Finally,using this model as the core algorithm,an operation risk assessment system of highway tunnels was developed and applied to a highway in Guangdong Province,China.The results showed that the proposed risk assessment model simplified the manual calculation process and could improve the timeliness and effectiveness of operation risk assessment of highway tunnel.

关键词

交通工程/隧道运营安全/极限学习机/风险评估/风险管控

Key words

traffic engineering/operation safety of tunnels/ELM(Extreme Learning Machine)/risk assessment/risk management and control

分类

交通工程

引用本文复制引用

李然,朱本成,郭云鹏,李凯伦..基于ELM神经网络的高速公路隧道运营风险评估模型[J].交通运输研究,2024,10(1):36-44,9.

基金项目

中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务费项目(20210502 ()

20230501) ()

交通运输研究

OACSTPCD

1002-4786

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