煤矿安全2024，Vol.55Issue(4)：236-244,9.DOI:10.13347/j.cnki.mkaq.20230784
基于蒙特卡罗方法的煤矿爆破作业风险评估
Risk assessment of coal mine blasting operations based on Monte Carlo method
摘要
Abstract
In order to quantitatively analyze the risk caused by each operational step of coal mine blasting and comprehensively and objectively assess its risk,with the help of Monte Carlo method,this paper establishes a risk assessment model of coal mine blasting operation steps,makes cumulative probability distribution of the behavioral risk consequence value of the operation process,and fi-nally determines the risk size and risk level of each operation step based on the mean result of Monte Carlo simulation and the over-all risk result of the operation process,and puts forward the measures for the control of the occurrence of such unsafe behaviors.The results of the study show that the order of risk of the blasting operation process is in the following order:clearing the items into the warehouse,loading,linkage,guarding,safety inspection after detonation,receiving and checking the blasting items,detonation,de-livery of blasting items,acceptance of the task of blasting,preoperational safety inspection,pre-detonation safety inspection,sealing the holes.关键词
煤矿安全生产/爆破作业/蒙特卡罗方法/累积概率分布/风险评估Key words
coal mine safety production/blasting operation/Monte Carlo method/cumulative probability distribution/risk assess-ment分类
矿业与冶金引用本文复制引用
栗婧,吴斌,朱经政,孔维珖,赵士钧..基于蒙特卡罗方法的煤矿爆破作业风险评估[J].煤矿安全,2024,55(4):236-244,9.基金项目
中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(2023ZKPYAQ01) （2023ZKPYAQ01）
