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考虑风光不确定性的综合能源系统容量-成本两阶段规划优化研究

王永利 滕越 袁博 窦真兰 张春雁 孙沛

可再生能源2024,Vol.42Issue(4):513-521,9.
可再生能源2024,Vol.42Issue(4):513-521,9.

考虑风光不确定性的综合能源系统容量-成本两阶段规划优化研究

Capacity-Cost two-stage planning optimization of integrated energy systems considering uncertainty of wind and solar energy output

王永利 1滕越 1袁博 1窦真兰 2张春雁 2孙沛2

作者信息

  • 1. 华北电力大学 经济与管理学院,北京 102206
  • 2. 国网上海市电力公司,上海 200023
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The integrated energy system(IES)planning and optimization faces multiple challenges such as high volatility of new energy sources and large uncertainty of output.In view of this,this paper proposes a two-stage capacity-cost planning and optimization method for integrated energy systems considering scenery uncertainty.Firstly,Latin hypercube sampling is applied to generate the base wind and solar scenarios set,and the scenarios are reduced based on the improved k-means algorithm.Secondly,a multi-objective optimization model is constructed with the lowest operating cost,optimal carbon emission reduction,and optimal pollutant emission reduction;finally,the system capacity-cost two-stage planning and optimization solution strategy is proposed,and a business park in the south is selected for the planning simulation.The simulation example shows that the two-stage planning model of integrated energy system constructed in this paper can ensure the economy of system and environmental protection at the same time,and meet the multiple energy demands of users.

关键词

综合能源系统/风光不确定性/场景削减/两阶段规划

Key words

integrated energy system/uncertainty of wind and solar energy output/scenario reduction/two-stage planning

分类

能源与动力

引用本文复制引用

王永利,滕越,袁博,窦真兰,张春雁,孙沛..考虑风光不确定性的综合能源系统容量-成本两阶段规划优化研究[J].可再生能源,2024,42(4):513-521,9.

基金项目

国家电网总部科技项目(52094021N011). (52094021N011)

可再生能源

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1671-5292

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