太阳能Issue(4)：20-28,9.DOI:10.19911/j.1003-0417.tyn20230427.04
碳中和目标下鄂尔多斯地区的光伏发电路径情景分析
SCENARIO ANALYSIS OF PV POWER GENERATION PATH IN ORDOS REGION UNDER CARBON NEUTRALITY TARGET
摘要
Abstract
This paper first uses the static method to analyze the PV power generation potential in the Ordos region based on the land area and PV power generation situation.Then,combined with the thermal power generation,coal consumption,and PV power generation in Ordos region,the energy consumption data of Ordos region is analyzed.Finally,based on China's carbon neutrality target,the electricity target,coal target,and investment target for PV power generation projects under the carbon neutrality target in the Ordos region are calculated year-on-year.The analysis results show that:1)With a land area of 37000 km2 available for PV power generation in the Ordos region,a PV power generation capacity of 1.48×109 kW can be achieved,resulting in a PV power generation capacity of 1.92×1013 kWh;2)When the total electricity demand of 3.90×1011 kWh in the Ordos region by 2060 is met by PV power generation,the land area required for the construction of PV power stations is 7500 km2,which is only 20%of the available land area for PV power generation.Therefore,the goal of achieving carbon neutral electricity in Ordos region can be achieved through PV power generation;3)To achieve the goal of carbon neutrality,the total investment in PV power stations and energy storage systems in the Ordos region will account for 21%of GDP.This goal can only be achieved by strengthening financial and policy guidance.关键词
光伏发电/鄂尔多斯/碳中和/情景分析Key words
PV power generation/Ordos/carbon neutrality/scenario analysis分类
信息技术与安全科学引用本文复制引用
张弦,王明培,史伟..碳中和目标下鄂尔多斯地区的光伏发电路径情景分析[J].太阳能,2024,(4):20-28,9.基金项目
2022年鄂尔多斯市产业创新人才团队项目 （）
鄂尔多斯市重点研发计划项目(YF20232303) （YF20232303）
