"人类世"背景下的灾害风险科学复杂性及前沿议题OA北大核心CSTPCD
Complexity and Frontiers Issues of Disaster Risk Science in the Context of the Anthropocene
灾害风险科学复杂性问题研究已成为当前学科发展的难题和热点.该文首先从"人类世"概念出发,阐述了环境变化对灾害风险的影响和解决灾害风险科学中复杂性议题的重要性.论述了系统思维下灾害风险科学的本质是探索区域灾害系统特征和机制,并探讨了区域灾害系统与社会-生态系统和人地关系地域系统的联系.在分析灾害风险科学发展新特征的基础上,对复杂系统和复杂网络的特点及其与灾害系统的内在联系进行了讨论,分析了复杂系统视角下的灾害系统过程和机制特点.最后阐述了灾害风险科学复杂性研究面临的秩序机遇、技术机遇和数据机遇,并提出了灾害风险科学复杂性研究的前沿议题.
The study of complexity in disaster risk science has become a challenge and a hot topic in the de-velopment of the discipline.Starting from the concept of the Anthropocene,The impact of environmental change on disaster risk and the importance of addressing complexity issues in disaster risk science are firstly explained.Secondly,the essence of disaster risk science under systems thinking is discussed as to explore the characteristics and mechanisms of regional disaster system,and the linkages between regional disaster system and socio-ecologi-cal system and geographical system of human-earth relations are explored Thirdly,based on the new features of the development of disaster risk science、the characteristics of complex system and complex network and their in-trinsic connection with disaster system are discussed,and the characteristics of the processes and mechanisms of disaster system under the perspective of complex system are discribed.Finally,the order,technology and data opportunities for complexity research in disaster risk science are described,and some frontier issues for complexity research in disaster risk science are proposed.
孔锋
中国农业大学人文与发展学院,北京 100083||北京市科学技术协会防灾减灾专业智库基地,北京 100089||清华大学应急管理研究基地,北京 100084
环境科学
人类世灾害风险科学灾害系统复杂灾害事件灾害耦合效应系统性风险与多重跨界危机
anthropocenedisaster risk sciencedisaster systemscomplex disaster eventscoupled disaster effectssystemic risk and polycrisis
《灾害学》 2024 (002)
48-53 / 6
中国高等教育学会2022年度高等教育科学研究规划课题(22DL0302);2021年度中华农业科教基金课程教材建设研究项目(NKJ202103014);北京市高等教育学会2022年立项课题面上项目(MS2022370);中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目(2023TC075);陕西省社会科学基金重大项目(2023ZD07);2023年中国地震局重大政策理论与实践问题研究课题(CEAZY2023JZ13).
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