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中国会展业发展效率时空特征及竞争力研究OACHSSCDCSTPCD

Research on the spatio-temporal characteristics and competitiveness of the development efficiency of China's exhibition industry

中文摘要英文摘要

运用三阶段DEA模型测度中国30个省区市2012-2020年会展业发展效率,探讨中国会展业发展效率时空演变规律及差异,并构建会展业"竞争力—效率"矩阵评价其发展态势.结果发现:中国会展业发展效率整体处于较低效率阶段,呈现先减后增的"U"型发展趋势,规模不经济是会展业发展效率不佳的根本原因;中国会展业发展效率标准差椭圆辐射范围逐渐扩大,重心位置总体向北向西方向偏移,效率冷热点的省际尺度演化趋势变化特征明显;环境扰动项加剧了产业规模冗余,促进资源集约化、提高专业劳动力素质、降低政府依附及技术管理创新为产业进步方向;中国会展业发展在地区及地区内部之间存在很大差距,"东强西弱"特征明显,将其划分为领军型、稳健型、进取型、滞后型4种类型,滞后型居主导地位,各地区需相互借鉴发展优势,缩小差距.

This paper used the three-stage DEA model to measure the development efficiency of the exhibition industry in 30 provinces and cities in China from 2012 to 2020,explored the spatio-temporal evolution and differences in the development efficiency of the exhibition industry in China,and constructed a"competitiveness efficiency"matrix to evaluate its development trend.The results showed that:①The overall development efficiency of China's conference and exhibition industry is in a relatively low efficiency stage,showing a U-shaped development trend of decreasing and then increasing,and diseconomies of scale are the fundamental reason for the poor development efficiency of the conference and exhibition industry.②The ellipse of the standard deviation of the development effi-ciency of China's conference and exhibition industry is gradually expanding,and the position of the center of gravity generally shifts to the north-west direction,while the center of gravity of the conference and exhibition industry in the north-west direction shifts to the west.The inter-provincial scale evolutionary trend of efficiency hot and cold spots has obvious characteristics.③The environmental perturbation term has exacerbated the redundancy of industrial scale,and the direction of industrial progress is to promote the intensifi-cation of resources,improve the quality of professional labor force,reduce the dependence on the government and technological manage-ment innovation.④The development of China's conference and exhibition industry has a huge disparity between the regions and intra-regions,and the characteristic of"East is strong and West is weak"is obvious,which makes the development of the conference and ex-hibition industry a very difficult task.The development of China's conference and exhibition industry is characterized by a wide gap be-tween regions and regions within regions,with the obvious feature of"strong in the east and weak in the west",which is divided into four types,namely,leading,robust,aggressive and lagging,with lagging dominating,and the regions need to learn from each other's de-velopment advantages to narrow the gap.

张萌;狄乾斌

辽宁师范大学海洋经济与可持续发展研究中心,辽宁大连 116029

经济学

会展发展效率时空差异三阶段DEA环境变量

exhibition development efficiencyspatio-temporal differencesthree stage DEAenvironmental variables

《资源开发与市场》 2024 (004)

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546-557 / 12

国家自然科学基金项目(编号:42076222).

10.3969/j.issn.1005-8141.2024.04.007

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