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长三角地区推进共同富裕对经济韧性的影响OACHSSCDCSTPCD

The impact of promoting common prosperity on economic resilience in the Yangtze River Delta region

中文摘要英文摘要

百年未有之大变局下,韧性是实现经济高质量发展和平稳运行的关键.与此同时,共同富裕是中国式现代化的重要目标,区域推进共同富裕对其经济韧性的影响尚待论证.基于2013-2020年长三角地区40个地级以上城市的面板数据,在定量测度共同富裕与经济韧性水平的基础上,分析其时空格局演变特征,并借助空间面板杜宾模型探究共同富裕对经济韧性的影响效应.结果表明:①时序层面,长三角地区共同富裕和经济韧性水平总体呈现上升趋势,且上升趋势逐渐趋同;②空间层面,长三角地区共同富裕和经济韧性水平空间分布格局较为稳定,整体上分别呈现出"东南高、西北低"和"以上海、杭州、南京、苏州四市为中心向外围扩散"的空间分异特征,同时在演进过程中表现出高值市域优势锁定的现象;③影响效应上,随着长三角地区共同富裕的有效推进,不仅对本地经济韧性具有显著正向促进作用,而且对邻近城市的经济韧性呈现显著的正向溢出效应.

In the face of profound changes not seen in a century,resilience is essential to achieving high-quality development and seamless economic operation.At the same time,common prosperity is a key objective of Chinese path to modernization,it is yet unknown how regional promotion of common prosperity would affect the region's economic resilience.This paper measured common prosperity and economic resilience,examined the features of the spatio-temporal pattern's evolution,and used spatial panel Durbin model to investi-gate the relationship between common prosperity and economic resilience based on panel data from 40 cities in the Yangtze River Delta region above prefecture level between 2013 and 2020.The findings indicated that:①At the temporal level,the Yangtze River Delta re-gion's common prosperity and economic resilience levels generally exhibited an increasing trend at the temporal level,and these rising trends were progressively converging.②At the spatial level,the Yangtze River Delta region exhibited a relatively stable spatial distribu-tion pattern of common prosperity and economic resilience,with distinct spatial differentiations of"high in the southeast and low in the northwest"and"spreading to the periphery with the four cities of Shanghai,Hangzhou,Nanjing,and Suzhou as the center",respective-ly,at the spatial level.Simultaneously,the evolution process demonstrated the phenomena of high-value cities'advantages being locked in.③ Regarding impact,the Yangtze River Delta region's successful promotion of common prosperity had a significant positive promo-tion effect on local economic resilience in addition to having a significant positive spillover effect on the economic resilience of nearby cities.

何志浩;张学波;吴江楠;卢冰坤

曲阜师范大学地理与旅游学院,山东 日照 276800曲阜师范大学地理与旅游学院,山东 日照 276800||曲阜师范大学黄河生态研究院,山东曲阜 273100

经济学

共同富裕经济韧性时空格局空间面板杜宾模型长三角地区

common prosperityeconomic resiliencespatio-temporal patternspatial panel Durbin modelYangtze River Delta re-gion

《资源开发与市场》 2024 (004)

转型期环渤海地区经济韧性演化分异及空间效应研究

568-578 / 11

国家自然科学基金项目(编号:42071150);山东省泰山学者青年专家计划(编号:tsqn202306183).

10.3969/j.issn.1005-8141.2024.04.009

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