气象研究与应用2024，Vol.45Issue(1)：42-48,7.DOI:10.19849/j.cnki.CN45-1356/P.2024.1.08
基于云D-S证据理论的极端天气下电力系统应急能力评判
Emergency capability evaluation of power systems under extreme weather conditions based on cloud D-S evidence theory
王建楠 1李元良 1温晓寒 1赖元威 1卢军严 1郑宇琦 1何青 1郭梽炜1
作者信息
- 1. 广西电网有限责任公司南宁供电局,南宁 530031
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
This article aims to improve the ability to respond to power system emergencies under extreme weather conditions,the emergency response capability of power system is taken as the research object,and an evaluation algorithm based on the fusion of cloud models and evidence theory is proposed.The combination of analytic hierarchy process and entropy method are used to determine the weights of emergency indicators,the cloud model is used as the basis to evaluate the emergency capacity of the power system,which is used to solve the problems of fuzziness and randomness of evaluation indicators,and the D-S evidence theory is introduced to comprehensively evaluate the indicators,and then a model for evaluating the emergency capacity of the power system under extreme weather conditions is constructed.It is proved through cases that this method can effectively and accurately evaluate the emergency capability of power grid systems quantitatively and qualitatively,and provide a scientific basis for improving the emergency management capability of power grid systems.关键词
云模型/D-S证据理论/层次分析法/熵值法:电力系统应急能力Key words
cloud model/D-S evidence theory/analytic hierarchy process/entropy method/emergency capability of power system分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
王建楠,李元良,温晓寒,赖元威,卢军严,郑宇琦,何青,郭梽炜..基于云D-S证据理论的极端天气下电力系统应急能力评判[J].气象研究与应用,2024,45(1):42-48,7.
