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1979-2020年中国油菜全要素生产率的动态演变与收敛性

刘福星 王彩丽 唐晶 冯中朝

中国油料作物学报2024,Vol.46Issue(2):236-244,9.
中国油料作物学报2024,Vol.46Issue(2):236-244,9.DOI:10.19802/j.issn.1007-9084.2022279

1979-2020年中国油菜全要素生产率的动态演变与收敛性

Dynamic evolution and convergence of total factor productivity of rape in China during 1979-2020

刘福星 1王彩丽 1唐晶 1冯中朝1

作者信息

  • 1. 华中农业大学经济管理学院,湖北 武汉,430070||湖北农村发展研究中心,湖北 武汉,430070
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摘要

Abstract

Clarifying the development of rape's total factor productivity in China since the Reform and Open-ing-up is a logical starting point to improve the comprehensive production capacity of rape.Based on the input-out-put related data of 11 rape main producing provinces during 1979-2020,this paper analyzes the dynamic evolution and convergence based on the total factor productivity measured by using Global Malmquist index,using kernel den-sity estimation,δ convergence and β convergence,respectively.The results show that,according to the time-series characteristics,China's total factor productivity of rape has achieved certain growth in the midst of dramatic fluctua-tions since the Reform and Opening-up,demonstrating a technology-induced growth pattern,whereas technical effi-ciency does not contribute significantly to it.From the dynamic evolution,the geographical variations in the rise of rape's total factor productivity keep getting smaller.From the perspective of convergence,the overall δ value of total factor productivity of rape is fluctuating and decreasing,and has essentially stabilized around 0.01 since 2012,dis-playing an clear convergence tendency,confirming the existence of δ convergence.The absolute β convergence and conditional β convergence of rape's total factor productivity exist.The convergence model's convergence is still sig-nificant after accounting for the spatial effect,and there is a favorable spatial spillover effect.It suggests counter-measures to support the development of a national rapeseed industrial technology system,execute a regionalized de-velopment plan,and encourage coordinated regional development in order to further increase the total factor produc-tivity of rapeseed.

关键词

油菜全要素生产率/动态演变/Kernel密度估计/δ收敛/β收敛

Key words

total factor productivity of rape/dynamic evolution/kernel density estimation/δ convergence/β convergence

分类

农业科技

引用本文复制引用

刘福星,王彩丽,唐晶,冯中朝..1979-2020年中国油菜全要素生产率的动态演变与收敛性[J].中国油料作物学报,2024,46(2):236-244,9.

基金项目

国家现代农业(油菜)产业技术体系专项经费资助项目(CARS-0012) (油菜)

中国油料作物学报

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1007-9084

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