当代经济管理2024，Vol.46Issue(6)：42-52,11.DOI:10.13253/j.cnki.ddjjgl.2024.06.005
中国经济增长的动力溯源:人口红利还是教育红利?
The Impetus of the Economic Growth in China:The Demographic Dividend or Educational Dividend?
摘要
Abstract
In the process of comprehensively building a modern industrial system,it is very important to fully tap the advantages of population resources to influence China's economic transformation.Using panel data from 30 provinces in China,this paper empirically analyzes the contribution and thresh-old characteristics of labor factors in China's economy from 2000 to 2021.The results show that:in the process of China's economic growth,the de-mographic dividend and the educational dividend exist for a long time,and the educational dividend has been the main driving force to promote China's economic growth;in the process of industrial structure change,the fluctuation characteristics of demographic dividend are more obvious.Demographic dividend and educational dividend weaken with the improvement of industrial rationalization level,and increase with the advancement of industrial up-grading.Therefore,it is proposed to stabilize the population growth rate while optimizing the industrial structure,promote the continuous improvement of educational human capital and the reasonable flow of rural labor force.关键词
人口红利/教育红利/经济增长/产业结构变迁Key words
population dividend/educational dividend/economic growth/changes in industrial structure分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
黄晋生..中国经济增长的动力溯源:人口红利还是教育红利?[J].当代经济管理,2024,46(6):42-52,11.基金项目
山东省社会科学规划青年项目"高等教育助推山东省农村内生发展动力的机制与路径研究"(23DJYJ06) （23DJYJ06）
喀什大学南疆教育发展研究中心项目"教育高质量发展助力南疆经济提质增效的多维测度与评价研究"(2023HX0307). （2023HX0307）
