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新质生产力水平的统计测度与时空演变特征研究OA北大核心CHSSCDCSSCICSTPCD

Statistical Measurement and Spatiotemporal Evolution Characteristics of New Quality Productive Force Level

中文摘要英文摘要

文章基于新质生产力的内涵和主要特征,测算了2010-2021年中国30个省份的新质生产力水平,并分析了新质生产力水平的区域差异及动态演变特征,结果显示:(1)研究期内,中国新质生产力水平整体上呈现上升趋势,地区间差异较大,形成"东高西低"的区域发展格局.(2)新质生产力水平存在显著的区域异质性特征,东部地区内部的新质生产力水平差异大于中西部地区,东-西部及东-中部的地区间差异是导致中国新质生产力水平区域差异扩大的主要原因.(3)从新质生产力水平的分布及演变特征来看,全国及东西部地区的新质生产力水平均存在极化现象.从时空动态演进特征看,中国新质生产力水平不存在跨越式跃迁,整体上呈现梯度上升趋势,新质生产力水平较高的省份能够发挥辐射带动作用,促进邻近省份的发展,而当邻近省份的新质生产力水平较低时,该省份将趋于保持相对稳定的状态.

This paper calculates the new quality productive force level of 30 provinces in China from 2010 to 2021 based on its connotation and main characteristics,analyzes the differences in development levels and dynamic evolution characteristics.The results go as follows:(1)During the research period,the overall development level of new quality productive forces in China shows an upward trend,with significant regional disparities,characterized by a regional development pattern of"higher in the east and lower in the west".(2)There are significant regional heterogeneity characteristics in the new quality productive forces.Specifical-ly,the development gap in new quality productive forces within the eastern region is higher compared with the central and western regions,and the differences in development between the east-west and east-central regions are the primary reasons for widening the development gaps in China's new quality productive forces.(3)From the perspectives of the distribution and evolution charac-teristics of new quality productive forces development,polarization phenomena exist both nationwide and in the three major re-gions,and there is a lack of spatial coordination within regions,leading to significant development disparities.From the perspec-tive of spatiotemporal dynamic evolution characteristics,there is no leapfrog development in the development level of new quality productive forces in China,but rather a gradual upward trend.Regions with higher levels of new quality productive forces can play a radiating role,promoting the development of neighboring regions.However,when the development level of new quality produc-tive forces in neighboring regions lags behind,the province tends to maintain a relatively stable state.

李阳;陈海龙;田茂再

新疆财经大学 统计与数据科学学院,乌鲁木齐 830012新疆财经大学 统计与数据科学学院,乌鲁木齐 830012||中国人民大学 统计学院,北京 100872

经济学

新质生产力时空演变Dagum基尼系数核密度估计空间Markov链

new quality productive forcesspatiotemporal evolutionDagum Gini coefficientkernel density estimationspa-tial Markov chain

《统计与决策》 2024 (009)

11-17 / 7

10.13546/j.cnki.tjyjc.2024.09.002

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