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中国新质生产力发展水平测度与时空演进OA北大核心CHSSCDCSSCICSTPCD

Measurement and Spatiotemporal Evolution of the Development Level of China's New Quality Productive Forces

中文摘要英文摘要

发展新质生产力是推动经济高质量发展的内在要求和重要着力点,对于加快实现中国式现代化具有重要意义.文章基于2015-2022年中国30个省份的面板数据,构建了中国新质生产力发展水平评价指标体系,并运用熵值法进行测算分析,运用Dagum基尼系数法、核密度估计法、全局以及局部莫兰指数分析新质生产力发展的时空演进特征.结果表明:第一,中国总体、四大地区新质生产力发展水平呈逐年上升状态,但存在区域差异,四大地区呈"东部—中部—东北—西部"递减状态;第二,中国新质生产力发展水平总体差异及东部、中部、东北地区区域内差异呈上升的趋势,西部地区区域内差异呈下降的趋势.四大地区中,区域间差异是新质生产力发展总体差异的主要来源;第三,新质生产力发展呈现空间正相关性,且东部地区多呈现"H-H"型集聚,中部、西部以及东北地区多呈现"L-L"型集聚.

The development of new quality productive forces is the internal requirement and important focus to promote high-quality economic development,and is of great significance for accelerating the realization of Chinese path to modernization.This paper is based on the panel data of 30 provinces from 2015 to 2022 to construct an indicator system for the development of new quality productive forces in China.Entropy method is used for the calculation and analysis;Dagum Gini coefficient method,kernel density estimation method,global and local Moran index are used to analyze the regional differences,dynamic evolution characteristics,spatial correlation,and spatial agglomeration characteristics of new quality productive forces development.The re-sults go as below:Firstly,the overall development level of new quality productive forces in China and the four major regions has been increasing year by year,but there are regional differences.The four major regions are in a decreasing state of"east—cen-tral—northeast—west".Secondly,the overall difference in the development level of new quality productive forces in China is on the rise,with regional differences among the four major regions being the main source of overall differences in the development of new quality productive forces.Thirdly,the development of new quality productive forces shows a positive spatial correlation,with the eastern region mostly exhibiting H-H type clustering,while the central,western and northeastern regions mostly exhibiting L-L type clustering.

张哲;李季刚;汤努尔·哈力克

新疆财经大学 金融学院,乌鲁木齐 830012

经济学

新质生产力中国式现代化区域差异空间相关性

new quality productive forcesChinese path to modernizationregional differencesspatial correlation

《统计与决策》 2024 (009)

18-23 / 6

国家社会科学基金资助项目(21BJY045);新疆财经大学研究生科研创新项目(XJUFE2023K012;XJUFE2024B007)

10.13546/j.cnki.tjyjc.2024.09.003

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