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中国农业新质生产力:水平测度与动态演变OA北大核心CHSSCDCSSCICSTPCD

Agricultural New Quality Productive Force in China:Level Measurement and Dynamic Evolution

中文摘要英文摘要

文章在深入分析农业新质生产力理论内涵的基础上,从农业劳动者、农业劳动对象和农业劳动资料三个维度构建了农业新质生产力综合评价指标体系,并基于2012-2021年我国31个省份的数据,采用熵值法、Dagum基尼系数、Kernel密度、Markov链等方法对中国农业新质生产力的发展水平和动态演变特征进行了测度与分析.研究发现:中国农业新质生产力发展水平提升明显,但整体水平仍然偏低,粮食主销区的发展水平较高.中国农业新质生产力分维度发展水平由高至低依次为新质劳动对象、新质劳动者和新质劳动资料.各地区发展水平存在一定的极化现象,但极化效应的影响在研究期间逐渐弱化.组间差异是导致我国农业新质生产力发展不均衡的主要原因.空间分布格局会影响中国农业新质生产力的演变过程,相邻省份发展水平的提升能够提高本省向高水平转移的概率.

On the basis of in-depth analysis of the theoretical connotation of agricultural new quality productive force,this paper constructs a comprehensive evaluation index system of agricultural new quality productive force from three dimensions:agri-cultural laborers,agricultural labor objects and agricultural labor materials.Based on the data of 31 provinces in China from 2012 to 2021,entropy method,Dagum Gini coefficient,Kernel density and Markov chain methods are used to measure and evaluate the development level of China's agricultural new quality productive force and its dynamic evolution characteristics.The results show that the development level of agricultural new quality productive force in China has improved obviously,but the overall level is still low,and the development level of the main grain marketing areas is relatively high.The sub-dimension development level of China's agricultural new quality productive force is the new quality of labor object,new quality of labor and new quality of labor materials from high to low.The development level in each region has a certain polarization phenomenon,but the influence of polar-ization effect gradually has weakened during the research period.The difference between groups is the main reason that leads to the uneven development of agricultural new quality productive force in China.Spatial distribution pattern could affect the evolu-tion process of China's agricultural new quality productive force,and the adjacency of high-level areas could increase the proba-bility of the transfer to high level.

朱迪;叶林祥

南京财经大学粮食和物资学院,南京 210023南京财经大学经济学院,南京 210023

经济学

农业新质生产力区域差异动态演变

agricultural new quality productive forceregional differencedynamic evolution

《统计与决策》 2024 (009)

24-30 / 7

国家社会科学基金重大项目(19ZDA116);江苏省研究生科研创新计划项目(KYCX21_1448);南京财经大学粮食和物资学院服务国家特殊需求博士人才科研专项课题(第二批)(BSZX2021-12)

10.13546/j.cnki.tjyjc.2024.09.004

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