统计与决策2024，Vol.40Issue(9)：112-117,6.DOI:10.13546/j.cnki.tjyjc.2024.09.019
中国农业现代化发展水平的空间格局与分布动态演进
Spatial Pattern and Distribution Dynamic Evolution of China's Agricultural Modernization Development Level
摘要
Abstract
Agricultural modernization is an important foundation for Chinese path to modernization,and accelerating agricul-tural modernization has become an inevitable requirement for building a great modern socialist country in an all-round way.Based on the construction of evaluation index system,this paper uses multi-index comprehensive evaluation method to estimate the de-velopment level of agricultural modernization in China's 31 provinces from 2005 to 2020,and then adopts Kernel density estima-tion,Moran's I and Markov chain analysis method to investigate the spatial distribution pattern and dynamic evolution of agricul-tural modernization development level.The results go as below:(1)The overall development level of agricultural modernization in China is on the rise,and the spatial distribution pattern of"high in the east and low in the west"is relatively significant.(2)In gen-eral,the development level of agricultural modernization in China presents a"left-sided"distribution feature of"high on the left and low on the right".During the sample period,the low-level agglomeration trend gradually improved,and the distribution pat-tern of agricultural modernization development level was different in different regions.(3)The change trend of agricultural modern-ization development level in China is relatively stable.There is a significant spatial positive correlation,and the provinces with higher development level have an obvious driving effect on neighboring provinces.关键词
农业现代化/评价指标体系/空间格局/动态演进Key words
agricultural modernization/evaluation index system/spatial pattern/dynamic evolution分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
冀玄玄,姜军松..中国农业现代化发展水平的空间格局与分布动态演进[J].统计与决策,2024,40(9):112-117,6.基金项目
国家社会科学基金重点项目(21AJL004) （21AJL004）
