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基于统计相关分析的雅砻江周家滑坡主控因素和变形机理研究

史宏娟 徐卫亚 吴伟 程振东 孙梦成 许晓逸 王如宾

三峡大学学报(自然科学版)2024,Vol.46Issue(3):1-7,7.
三峡大学学报(自然科学版)2024,Vol.46Issue(3):1-7,7.DOI:10.13393/j.cnki.issn.1672-948X.2024.03.001

基于统计相关分析的雅砻江周家滑坡主控因素和变形机理研究

Correlation Analysis on Influencing Factors and Deformation Mechanism of the Zhoujia Landslide in Yalong River

史宏娟 1徐卫亚 1吴伟 2程振东 1孙梦成 2许晓逸 1王如宾1

作者信息

  • 1. 河海大学 岩土工程科学研究所,南京 210098||河海大学 岩土力学与堤坝工程教育部重点实验室,南京 210098
  • 2. 中国电建华东勘测设计研究院有限公司,杭州 311122
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

The Zhoujia landslide is situated in the upstream of the Kala Hydropower Station,exhibiting features of substantial deformation,evident signs of destruction,and a large volume.If the landslide were to become unstable,it could trigger disasters such as surges,river blockages,and reservoir sedimentation,posing a threat to the safety of both the dam during construction and its subsequent operation,as well as environmental safety.The lasso-Random Forest(lasso-RF)and Spearman correlation analysis are used in this paper.Utilizing monitoring data of the Zhoujia landslide,it conducts an analysis of the correlation between factors and investigates the mechanisms behind deformation and failure.The results indicate that the deformation of the Zhoujia Landslide is more correlated with rainfall than seismic factors,with rainfall being the primary influencing factor.Rainfall has a delayed impact on landslide deformation.The surface displacement in Zone B1 shows a strong correlation with deep-seated displacement,indicating a collective sliding characteristic of the landslide.Therefore,enhanced monitoring of various indicators in Zone B1 is necessary.

关键词

水动力型滑坡/变形破坏机理/降雨/相关性分析/卡拉水电站

Key words

hydromechanical landslide/mechanisms of deformation failure/rainfall/correlation analysis/Kala hydropower station

分类

天文与地球科学

引用本文复制引用

史宏娟,徐卫亚,吴伟,程振东,孙梦成,许晓逸,王如宾..基于统计相关分析的雅砻江周家滑坡主控因素和变形机理研究[J].三峡大学学报(自然科学版),2024,46(3):1-7,7.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金重点项目(51939004) (51939004)

国家重点研发计划项目(2017YFC1501100) (2017YFC1501100)

中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助(B200203093) (B200203093)

江苏省研究生科研与实践创新计划项目(KYCX20_0448) (KYCX20_0448)

三峡大学学报(自然科学版)

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1672-948X

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