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喀什地区伽师县绿洲面积时空演变规律及驱动因素分析

田龙 穆振侠

西北水电Issue(2):13-18,6.
西北水电Issue(2):13-18,6.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1006-2610.2024.02.003

喀什地区伽师县绿洲面积时空演变规律及驱动因素分析

Spatiotemporal Evolution of Oasis Area and its Driving Factors in Jiashi County,Kashgar region

田龙 1穆振侠2

作者信息

  • 1. 新疆水利水电勘测设计研究院有限责任公司,乌鲁木齐 830000
  • 2. 新疆农业大学水利与土木工程学院,乌鲁木齐 830052||新疆水利工程安全与水灾害防治重点实验室,乌鲁木齐 830052
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Based on the four remote sensing interpretation results from 1990 to 2020,this paper analyzes the evolution process of oasis area and land use type in Jiashi County from the perspective of temporal and spatial scales by using the study methods of area trend change amplitude,land use/cover change index and transfer matrix,and the main driving factors affecting the oasis pattern in Jiashi County are analyzed starting from factors such as wa-ter resources conditions and human activities.The results show that the year 2000 is the boundary point of Jiashi County,before which the influence of human activities is weak and natural oasis is dominant.After 2000,the influence of human activities increased,artificial oases is dominant.In the fu-ture,the probability of water resources changing from abundant to flat to dry is increasing,and the risk of maintaining the existing oasis pattern is grea-ter.It is suggested to actively adjust the oasis structure to cope with the risk brought by the change of water resources.

关键词

绿洲格局/驱动因素/伽师县

Key words

oasis pattern/driving factors/Jiashi County

分类

建筑与水利

引用本文复制引用

田龙,穆振侠..喀什地区伽师县绿洲面积时空演变规律及驱动因素分析[J].西北水电,2024,(2):13-18,6.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金(52269007,51969029) (52269007,51969029)

新疆维吾尔自治区重点研发计划(2022B03024-4). (2022B03024-4)

西北水电

1006-2610

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