中国人口·资源与环境2024，Vol.34Issue(3)：124-136,13.DOI:10.12062/cpre.20231008
环境规制、数字赋能对产业结构升级的影响及机理
Impact and mechanisms of environmental regulation and digital empowerment on industrial structure upgrading
摘要
Abstract
At present,prioritizing green development and promoting digital empowerment have become key paths in China's economic transformation.To explore whether'green development'and'digitalization'can achieve synergistic development at the industrial lev-el,this paper used the panel data of 283 prefecture-level cities in China to innovatively verify the regulatory effect of the digital econo-my in the process of green transformation of the industrial structure.Firstly,the multiple threshold test was used to find the nonlinear re-lationship between environmental regulation and industrial structure adjustment.Based on the fitting of a high-order function,two ad-justment variables—industrial digitalization and digital industrialization—were added to analyze the synergy between environmental regulation and digital empowerment.The results showed that:① Environmental regulation had no significant impact on the rationaliza-tion of industrial structure but had a single threshold effect on the upgrading of industrial structure;that is,when the intensity of envi-ronmental regulation exceeded the threshold value,environmental improvement and industrial structure upgrading could achieve a win-win situation.② The joint operation of industrial digitalization and environmental regulation led to a dual threshold effect in the ratio-nalization of industrial structure.As the integration of the two deepened,synergistic development could be achieved by gradually reduc-ing the intensity of environmental regulation.However,the joint operation of industrial digitalization and environmental regulation led to the disappearance of the single threshold effect of industrial structure upgrading,and the interaction coefficient was significantly posi-tive but not stable.③ The joint operation of digital industrialization and environmental regulation did not have a significant impact on the rationalization of industrial structure but had a single threshold effect on the advancement of industrial structure.As the integration of the two deepened,the intensity range of ecological and industrial synergistic development would gradually expand.From the hetero-geneity regression results of local regions,the main conclusion could still be verified,but it was found that there was a phenomenon of pollution transfer from economically developed areas to underdeveloped areas.Based on the above conclusions,this study proposes that shortsighted behaviors of local environmental governance and the objective differences in the industrial levels of each region should be considered in the top-level design process.We should also guide the governments in the developed areas to pay more attention to the long-term driving force of green technology innovation and promote the deep integration of'green consensus'and development goals.关键词
环境规制/数字赋能/产业结构调整/多重门槛/"两化"融合Key words
environmental regulation/digital empowerment/industrial restructuring/multiple thresholds/integration of green develop-ment and digitalization分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
马海良,顾莹莹,黄德春,贺正齐..环境规制、数字赋能对产业结构升级的影响及机理[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2024,34(3):124-136,13.基金项目
国家社会科学基金重大项目"绿色发展下我国水资源-能源-粮食协同发展与安全战略研究"(批准号:19ZDA084). （批准号:19ZDA084）
