工业技术经济2024，Vol.43Issue(6)：71-81,11.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1004-910X.2024.06.008
中国制造业绿色发展韧性测度及演变趋势研究
Measurement and Evolution Trend of the Green Development Resilience in China's Manufacturing Industry
摘要
Abstract
Green development resilience is an important direction for Chinese manufacturing enterprises to achieve sustai-nable development in the face of turbulent environments.Sensitivity Index method is applied to measure green development resilience(GREST)of manufacturing enterprises.Kernel density curve and Markov chain methods are used to evaluate their dynamic trends and convergence characteristics in China's manufacturing industry.Results are as follows.Firstly,its green transformation of China's manufacturing industry is experiencing such double declines in terms of gtfp and GREST.Its gtfp is decreasing while GREST has turned such transitions as"rising→decreasing"and"positive→negative".Secondly,high-end-equipment manufacturing sector is the leading force in gtfp's change,while traditional manufacturing sector is playing dominant role in its green development resilience.Thirdly,based on Markov chain results of GREST,state-locking probabilities are higher for both the high-level and lower-level types.State-Jumping and sate-degradation exist mainly between the adjacent types.The manufacturing industry should converge to the relatively higher-level and higher-level types,which may occupy half of the whole enterprises.Further,the con-verging enterprises of traditional manufacturing sectors make up 55%of them,and the proportion of high-end equipment manufac-turing enterprises is 45%.Research findings can provide certain policy insights to promote the enhancement of GREST and the effi-cient advancement of green development in China's manufacturing industry.关键词
制造业/绿色发展韧性/绿色全要素生产率/敏感性指数法/核密度分布/马尔科夫链Key words
manufacturing industry/green development resilience/green total factor productivity/Sensitivity Index met-hod/kernel density distribution/Markov chain分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
赵巧芝,田雪琪,张力晖..中国制造业绿色发展韧性测度及演变趋势研究[J].工业技术经济,2024,43(6):71-81,11.基金项目
河北省社会科学基金项目"数字经济驱动制造业高质量发展的机制识别与河北场景研究"(项目编号:HB23ZT008) （项目编号:HB23ZT008）
河北省社会科学发展研究课题"面向碳中和目标的电力行业绿色技术创新行为及提升对策研究"(项目编号:20230202047) （项目编号:20230202047）
河北省高等学校科学研究计划项目"数字技术驱动河北省制造企业绿色高质量发展的协同路径研究"(项目编号:SZ2024159). （项目编号:SZ2024159）
