江淮水利科技Issue(2):23-27,37,6.DOI:10.20011/j.cnki.JHWR.202402005
基于水文水动力耦合模型的三江流域防洪模拟预报应用研究
Research on flood simulation and forecast application in the Sanjiang Basin on hydrological and hydrodynamic coupling model
殷寅 1曾贤敏 2李伟 3张梦菲 2刘亮3
作者信息
- 1. 安徽省芜湖水文水资源局,安徽 芜湖 241000
- 2. 南京慧水软件科技有限公司,江苏 南京 210036
- 3. 芜湖江河智水科技有限公司,安徽 芜湖 241000
- 折叠
摘要
Abstract
To solve the issues of low forecast accuracy in downstream river sites during flood simulation and forecasting,as well as the excessive amount of data required when using hydrodynamic model methods,a hydrological-hydrodynamic integrated model was established.This model was based on the distributed architecture model theory of different hydrological characteris-tics of underlying surfaces.By decomposing and simulating the runoff generation and confluence processes at various stages in the hilly and plain areas of the basin,the model achieved mutual feedback coupling through momentum and flux exchange at the interface.Using the Sanjiang Basin as the study area,a coupled model incorporating upstream hilly area hydrological mod-el,plain area hydrological-hydraulic model,and downstream Yangtze River hydraulic model was constructed.Calibration and validation of the integrated model for the entire basin were conducted using representative stations.Analysis of rainfall from 2016 to 2022 in the basin and validation of multiple floods with rainfall exceeding 100 mm demonstrate good accuracy in flood simulation with the coupled model.The results indicated that the hydro-hydraulic coupled model effectively improves the pre-diction accuracy in the plain river network area and enhances the flood dispatching capability of the entire basin without re-quiring extensive data.This model had strong reference value and can provide insights for flood simulation and prediction re-search in other similar basins.关键词
三江流域/水文水动力耦合模型/防洪预报/工程调度Key words
Sanjiang Basin/hydrological-hydrodynamic coupling model/flood control forecast/project scheduling分类
天文与地球科学引用本文复制引用
殷寅,曾贤敏,李伟,张梦菲,刘亮..基于水文水动力耦合模型的三江流域防洪模拟预报应用研究[J].江淮水利科技,2024,(2):23-27,37,6.