现代情报2024，Vol.44Issue(6)：59-66,81,9.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1008-0821.2024.06.005
引文视角下的变革性研究早期识别模型构建方法与应用
Construction Methods of Transformative Research Early Identification Model and Its Application from a Citation Analysis Perspective
摘要
Abstract
[Purpose/Significance]Timely and accurate identification of transformative research is of great signifi-cance for exploring the research frontiers in science,as well as facing the new pattern of high-quality development of the country.[Method/Process]Based on the characteristics of transformative research in the dimensions of breadth,intensity and speed,and by machine learning methods,the entropy weight method,factor analysis method and regression analysis method,the study constructed the transformative research identification model from the perspective of citation.Applied the models above to the fields of gene targets,magnetoresistive effects,fullerenes to evaluate the early recognition effect of dif-ferent models,and applied the model with the highest early recognition effect to the fields of molecular biology,polymer science and astrophysics in 2017.[Results/Conclusions]Judging from the"ranking"and"top%"indicators,the rec-ognition effect of the early recognition model of transformative research based on regression analysis is better than that of the other two models,and the identified transformative research ranks higher,and the transformative research could be identi-fied in the third year after publication.The accuracy of the model in the field of gene targets and fullerenes are higher than in the field of magnetoresistive effect.The accuracy and recall rate of the early recognition model in the transformative study based on regression analysis are 80%,and the average score of the model is 0'764.关键词
变革性研究/引文分析/诺贝尔奖/科学突破/早期识别Key words
transformative research/citation analysis/Nobel Prize/scientific breakthrough/early identification分类
社会科学引用本文复制引用
梁国强,宋卢睿,侯海燕..引文视角下的变革性研究早期识别模型构建方法与应用[J].现代情报,2024,44(6):59-66,81,9.基金项目
国家自然科学基金青年项目"协同进化视角下变革性研究形成机制与识别方法研究"(项目编号:72204014) （项目编号:72204014）
北京市自然科学基金面上项目"协同进化视角下研究前沿的涌现机制及识别方法研究"(项目编号:9232002) （项目编号:9232002）
教育部哲学社会科学研究重大课题攻关项目"基础研究领域颠覆性科研成果识别与我国基础研究能力提升研究"(项目编号:22JZD021). （项目编号:22JZD021）
