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社会网络环境下考虑专家共识水平的群体FMEA方法研究

陈兆芳 徐政 黄文翰

安全与环境工程2024,Vol.31Issue(3):54-64,11.
安全与环境工程2024,Vol.31Issue(3):54-64,11.DOI:10.13578/j.cnki.issn.1671-1556.20231292

社会网络环境下考虑专家共识水平的群体FMEA方法研究

Research on group FMEA method considering expert consensus level in social network environment

陈兆芳 1徐政 1黄文翰2

作者信息

  • 1. 福建理工大学管理学院,福建福州 350118
  • 2. 福建省特种设备检验研究院,福建福州 350008
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

In response to the problems of incomplete expert information and significant differences in evalua-tion results between experts and groups in the failure mode and effects analysis(FMEA)method evalua-tion,this paper proposes a group FMEA method considering expert consensus level in the social network environment.Firstly,in the social network environment,a binary trust/distrust matrix was used to describe the trust/distrust issues among some experts.Due to the possibility of mutual lack of understanding among experts,there may be unknown relationships among experts in addition to trust/distrust relationships.Therefore,based on the binary matrix,a propagation operator was used to complete the trust/distrust and unknown relationships among experts,and a ternary trust/distrust matrix was established.The weights of each individual expert were obtained through the mutual trust between experts;then,through combining the similarity aggregation method(SAM),the relative consistency between expert evaluation results and group expert decision-making results was calculated,and through integrating expert weights and relative consistency indicators,the comprehensive weights of each expert were obtained.Finally,taking the four stage indicators of urban emergency management capacity in the context of disasters as an example,the key factors affecting urban emergency management capacities were identified by calculating the risk priority number(RPN)of the 14 indicators in these four stages,verifying the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed method.

关键词

社会网络环境/失效模式与影响分析(FMEA)/相似性聚合法(SAM)/共识水平

Key words

social network environment/failure mode and effects analysis(FMEA)/similarity aggregation method(SAM)/consensus level

分类

资源环境

引用本文复制引用

陈兆芳,徐政,黄文翰..社会网络环境下考虑专家共识水平的群体FMEA方法研究[J].安全与环境工程,2024,31(3):54-64,11.

基金项目

福建省社会科学规划重点项目(FJ2024MGCA027) (FJ2024MGCA027)

福州市社会科学规划重点项目(2023FZB05) (2023FZB05)

安全与环境工程

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1671-1556

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