人民黄河2024，Vol.46Issue(6)：1-7,13,8.DOI:10.3969/j.issn.1000-1379.2024.06.001
黄河流域高质量发展系统均衡性及影响因素多视角分析
Analysis of Equilibrium Characteristics and Influencing Factors of High-Quality Development in the Yellow River Basin from a Multi-Dimensional Perspective
摘要
Abstract
Expanding the breadth and depth of research on high-quality development,further improving the measurement system and research paradigm for high-quality development,and providing reference for the comprehensive and deepening implementation of the major national strategy of ecological protection and high-quality development in the Yellow River Basin,building a high-quality development system evalua-tion index system based on the new development concept,and making innovative development,coordinated development,green development,open development,and shared development as the five sub-systems of high-quality development,using the period from 2010 to 2020 as the research period and 62 prefecture level cities along the Yellow River as sample cities,the entropy weight method was used to calculate the de-velopment index of 5 sub-systems and the comprehensive index of high-quality development systems.Then,the equilibrium level of each sub-system of high-quality development was measured by the equilibrium entropy model,the dynamic evolution of the equilibrium level of the high-quality development system in the Yellow River Basin was analyzed by the kernel density estimation method,and the influencing factors of the equilibrium level of the high-quality development system in the Yellow River Basin were detected by the geographic detector.The re-sults show that a)the balance level and comparative advantages of various sub-systems of high-quality development in the Yellow River Basin are shifting towards a positive direction.Most prefecture level cities have good balance in high-quality development systems,while a few pre-fecture level cities have systemic imbalances.The middle reaches of the Yellow River have the highest balance level of high-quality develop-ment systems,while the downstream areas have the lowest balance level of high-quality development systems.b)The comprehensive level of high-quality development system and the equilibrium level of the sub-systems in the Yellow River Basin are mismatched.The comprehensive level of high-quality development system in most cities in the middle and upper reaches is relatively lower,while the equilibrium level of each sub-system is relatively higher,indicating low-level equilibrium.The comprehensive level of high-quality development system in most cities in the downstream is relatively higher,while the equilibrium level of each sub-system is relatively lower,indicating high-level imbalance.c)There are significant spatial differences in the overall balance level of high-quality development systems in the Yellow River Basin,as well as in the upper,middle,and lower reaches.At the same time,there is a phenomenon of"club convergence"in all regions,and the polariza-tion phenomenon within each region is gradually weakening.d)The driving effects of innovative development,coordinated development,green development,open development,and shared development on the balanced level of high-quality development system in the Yellow River Basin have spatial differentiation,and the mutual influence between the two has an enhancing effect.Suggestions have been put forward for the dual development of quantity and quality in the Yellow River Basin.关键词
高质量发展/均衡熵模型/核密度估计/地理探测器/黄河流域Key words
high-quality development/equilibrium entropy model/kernel density estimation/geodetector/Yellow River Basin分类
管理科学引用本文复制引用
张文彬,闫艺丹..黄河流域高质量发展系统均衡性及影响因素多视角分析[J].人民黄河,2024,46(6):1-7,13,8.基金项目
国家社会科学基金项目(23XGL020) （23XGL020）
陕西省社会科学一般项目(2022D018) （2022D018）
陕西省软科学一般项目(2024ZC-YBXM-189) （2024ZC-YBXM-189）
