基于蒸散发干旱指数的子牙河流域干旱时空变化特征分析OA北大核心CSTPCDEI
Analysis of spatiotemporal variation characteristics of droughts in the Ziya River Basin based on evapotranspiration-related drought indexes
为探究子牙河流域干旱时空分布特征,基于2001-2021年逐月降水和遥感蒸散栅格数据,采用标准化降水蒸散指数(SPEI)和标准化蒸散发亏缺指数(SEDI)表征流域干旱情况,运用Sen斜率估计和Mann-Kendall检验法分析了流域2001-2021年季尺度干旱时空分布及变化趋势,统计了干旱面积、干旱次数、干旱历时和干旱烈度等特征变量.结果表明:SPEI对子牙河流域旱情发生时间、程度和范围识别的准确率更高,2001-2021年流域SPEI呈上升趋势,表现出湿润化态势,冬季SPEI呈下降趋势,表现为干旱化态势,忻州、阳泉市等地存在显著干旱化的区域;流域各季节干旱面积占比呈现波动变化,部分年份出现大范围季节性干旱,夏旱和秋旱干旱面积占比最高,超过90%;忻州和阳泉市部分区域、石家庄市西部区域和衡水市北部区域呈现干旱次数少、历时长、烈度大的特点,邯郸和邢台市部分区域、衡水市南部区域、石家庄市东部区域表现为干旱次数多、历时短、烈度小的特征.
To investigate spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of droughts in the Ziya River Basin,the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index(SPEI)and standardized evapotranspiration deficit index(SEDI)were calculated based on monthly precipitation and remotely sensed evapotranspiration grid data from 2001 to 2021.The spatial and temporal distribution and trend of seasonal-scale droughts in the basin from 2001 to 2021 were analyzed using Sen slope estimation and Mann-Kendall test,and characteristic variables such as drought area,number of droughts,drought duration,and drought severity were calculated.The results indicated that SPEI has higher accuracy in identifying the onset,termination,degree,and extent of droughts in the Ziya River Basin,and it showed an overall increasing trend in the basin from 2001 to 2021,indicating a wetting trend.Furthermore,a decreasing trend of SPEI in winter was detected,showing an aridity trend,especially in Xinzhou and Yangquan cities,where there were significant aridity areas.The percentage of drought area in the basin showed a fluctuating trend,and there was a wide range of seasonal drought in some years.Summer and autumn drought areas accounted for the highest proportion,higher than 90%.In part regions of Xinzhou and Yangquan cities,the western region of Shijiazhuang City,and the northern region of Hengshui City,droughts were characterized by low frequency,long duration,and high severity,while in the Handan and Xingtai cities,the southern region of Hengshui City,and the eastern region of Shijiazhuang City,droughts were characterized by high frequency,short duration,and low severity.
冯平;任明雪;李建柱
天津大学水利工程智能建设与运维全国重点实验室,天津 300350
大气科学
遥感蒸散发标准化降水蒸散指数标准化蒸散发亏缺指数干旱特征子牙河流域
remote sensing evapotranspirationstandardized precipitation evapotranspiration indexstandardized evapotranspiration deficit indexdrought characteristicsZiya River Basin
《水资源保护》 2024 (003)
35-43,70 / 10
国家自然科学基金项目(52079086)
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