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临床预测模型的展现形式OA北大核心CSTPCD

Presentation of Clinical Prediction Models

中文摘要英文摘要

预测模型是用来预测个体发生目标事件概率或预测结局值的统计模型.预测模型结果可视化展现是开发预测模型全流程中必不可少的一部分.良好的预测模型展现形式不仅可以使预测结果具有更好的可读性、可解释性,也在很大程度上决定了其使用方式和便利性.本文将详细介绍各种预测模型的展现形式,并阐述各自的优缺点.随后结合脑血管病临床预测模型研究,通过研究示例逐一介绍不同展现形式在脑血管病研究中的应用.

A prediction model is a statistical model used to predict the probability of an individual with a target event or to predict the outcome value.Visualization of prediction model results is an essential part of the whole process of developing a prediction model.A good presentation of a prediction model can not only make the prediction results more readable and interpretable,but also determine its use and convenience to a large extent.This paper provided a detailed introduction to various forms of prediction model presentation and reported their advantages and disadvantages.Combining clinical prediction model research on cerebrovascular disease,this paper introduced the application of each presentation in cerebrovascular disease research through research examples.

金奥铭;谷鸿秋

北京 100070 首都医科大学附属北京天坛医院国家神经系统疾病临床医学研究中心

临床医学

预测模型展现形式脑血管病

Prediction modelPresentationCerebrovascular disease

《中国卒中杂志》 2024 (005)

515-519 / 5

首都医科大学第五临床医学院教学改革项目(2023JYY228)

10.3969/j.issn.1673-5765.2024.05.005

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