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福建省生态系统服务价值时空演变及驱动因素OA

Spatiotemporal evolution and its driving factors of ecosystem service value in Fujian Province

中文摘要英文摘要

[目的]探讨土地利用变化与生态系统服务价值(ecosystem services value,ESV)的演变,对于优化土地利用结构、提高生态系统服务价值具有重要意义.[方法]基于福建省2010-2020 年土地利用遥感监测数据,通过土地利用变化测算、地理探测器与地理加权回归对生态系统服务价值进行定量评估,分析福建省生态系统服务价值时空演变特征及其驱动因子.[结果]①2010-2020 年福建省沿海城市耕地、林地向建设用地大幅度转化,内陆与沿海地区地类变化差异明显.②2010-2020 年福建省ESV由 4 322.88 亿元下降至 4 302.06 亿元,空间上呈现内陆地区高、沿海地区低的分布特征.③各驱动因子对ESV的解释作用存在差异性:经济因素对ESV的解释作用最强,自然因素次之,社会因素最弱.④年均降水、人口密度、社会消费品零售总额是影响ESV变化的主导驱动因子:年均降水对ESV表现出由东南向西北递减,呈现从正值到负值过渡的特征;人口密度与ESV呈负相关,强度由东向西逐渐递增;社会消费品零售总额对ESV表现出由南部向北部递增,呈现从负值到正值过渡的特征.[结论]土地利用变化是影响生态系统服务价值变化的直接原因,研究期内福建省沿海地区大量农用地转变为建设用地,生态系统服务价值不断下降,空间异质性显著.未来应协调内陆与沿海地区经济同步发展,平衡农用地与建设用地之间的相互转化,以便协同推进经济社会发展和生态环境保护.

[Objectives]Understanding the evolution of land use change and ecosystem service value(ESV)is important for optimizing land use structure and improving ecosystem service value.[Methods]Based on the remote sensing monitoring data of land use in Fujian Province from 2010 to 2020,we used land use change measurement,geographical detector and geographically weighted regression(GWR)to quantitatively evaluate ecosystem service value,and analyzed the spatial-temporal evolution characteristics and driving factors of ecosystem service value in Fujian Province.[Results](1)From 2010 to 2020,the cultivated land and forest land in coastal cities of Fujian Province have been greatly transformed into construction land,and the changes in inland and coastal land types were obviously different.(2)From 2010 to 2020,the ESV in Fujian Province decreased from 432.288 billion yuan to 430.206 billion yuan,showing the distribution characteristics of high in inland areas and low in coastal areas.(3)The explanatory effect of each driving factor on ESV differed.Economic factors had the strongest explanatory effect on ESV,followed by natural factors,and social factors had the weakest effect.(4)The dominant driving factors affecting the change of ESV were average annual precipitation,population density and total retail sales of social consumer goods.The average annual precipitation on ESV showed a decreasing trend from southeast to northwest,from positive to negative.The population density was negatively correlated with ESV,and the intensity gradually increased from east to west.The total retail sales of social consumer goods showed an increasing trend from the south to the north,transitioning from negative to positive values.[Conclusions]Land use change directly caused a decline in ecosystem service value.During the study period,a significant amount of agricultural land in the coastal areas of Fujian Province was transformed into construction land.The value of ecosystem services was declining and the spatial heterogeneity was significant.In the future,it is important to coordinate the economic development of inland and coastal areas,while also balancing the mutual transformation between agricultural land and construction land.This will promote economic and social development,as well as protect the ecological environment.

林晨宇;宋羽;叶玲兰

福建农林大学公共管理与法学院,福州 350002

经济学

生态系统服务价值土地利用变化GWR模型时空演变驱动因子福建省

land use changeecosystem service valuespatiotemporal evolutionGWR modeldriving factorsFujian Province

《自然保护地》 2024 (002)

81-94 / 14

福建省中青年教师教育科研项目(社科类)(JAS22038);福建农林大学乡村振兴研究院开放基金(XCZX2022A02);国家级大学生创新训练项目(202310389036).

10.12335/2096-8981.2023102402

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