摘要
Abstract
With the help of the principles and methods of system dynamics,this paper constructs the evaluation model of sustainable development of Nanchang city,which includes five subsystems:e-conomy,society,resources,environment and policy to simulate the changing situation and charac-teristics of sustainable development under different development scenarios in Nanchang,so as to pro-vide reference for its sustainable development decision-making.The results show that by 2030,the urban comprehensive sustainability of Nanchang shows an upward trend,but the sustainable growth of resource utilization and eco-environment subsystem increased slowly.The comprehensive coordi-nation scenario model is a better choice for the future development of Nanchang city.In the future,by taking high-quality development as the guidance,adjusting the industrial structure,increasing R&D investment,improving the level of resource utilization,strengthening eco-environmental pro-tection and comprehensive renovation,it can greatly promote the sustainable development of Nan-chang city under the comprehensive and coordinated scenario.关键词
系统动力学/可持续发展/多情景模拟/南昌市Key words
system dynamics/sustainable development/multi-scenario simulation/Nanchang city分类
管理科学