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基于全价值和全成本模型的农业水价方案及其可行性分析

成琨 王子欣 孙楠

农业机械学报2024,Vol.55Issue(5):356-367,12.
农业机械学报2024,Vol.55Issue(5):356-367,12.DOI:10.6041/j.issn.1000-1298.2024.05.034

基于全价值和全成本模型的农业水价方案及其可行性分析

Agricultural Water Pricing Programs and Feasibility Analysis Based on Full-value and Full-cost Model

成琨 1王子欣 2孙楠2

作者信息

  • 1. 东北农业大学理学院,哈尔滨 150030
  • 2. 东北农业大学水利与土木工程学院,哈尔滨 150030
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Aiming at the problem of low agricultural water price,Heilongjiang Province,the main grain producing area,was selected as the study area.Starting from the full-value and full-cost of agricultural water,the value of agricultural water use was analyzed by using the emergy theory,the cost of water use was determined by using the full-cost water pricing method,and the pricing of agricultural water resources was formulated in different situations by combining with the current price of water.A double logarithmic model was used to establish the price function of agricultural water demand,reveal the potential for water saving in the study area brought about by the increase in water price,and determine the affordability of farmers by combining with the index analysis method,so as to judge the feasibility of the water pricing scheme formulated.The results showed that in 2020,the full-value of agricultural water resources was 0.594 yuan/m3,and the full-costs of surface water and groundwater were 0.180 yuan/m3 and 0.355 yuan/m3,respectively;for the three designed ladder water price adjustment schemes,empirical analyses were carried out by using the years of 2005,2010,2015,and 2020,and in the case of the transition period and the long-term water price scheme,the average annual water savings respectively can be up to 2.72 × 109 m3 and 4.45 ×109 m3,the average annual water saving potential was 12.74%and 19.48%,and the first-order water price was in the range of the affordability of farmers,which was determined as a feasible program.The research result can provide support for the comprehensive reform of agricultural water price in the study area,which can be combined with the actual situation to gradually increase the agricultural water price to a reasonable level.

关键词

农业水价/农业水资源全价值模型/改进的全成本水价模型/能值理论/阶梯水价

Key words

agricultural water pricing/full-value model of agricultural water resources/improved full-cost water pricing model/emergy theory/laddered water pricing

分类

管理科学

引用本文复制引用

成琨,王子欣,孙楠..基于全价值和全成本模型的农业水价方案及其可行性分析[J].农业机械学报,2024,55(5):356-367,12.

基金项目

国家自然科学基金项目(52179007)和黑龙江省自然科学基金项目(LH2022E009) (52179007)

农业机械学报

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1000-1298

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