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首页|期刊导航|热带地理|台风风暴潮与上游洪水耦合作用下温州飞云江感潮河段潮水位模拟研究

台风风暴潮与上游洪水耦合作用下温州飞云江感潮河段潮水位模拟研究

魏国振 任明磊 孙琳 夏志昌 陈智洋 尤再进

热带地理2024,Vol.44Issue(6):1016-1024,9.
热带地理2024,Vol.44Issue(6):1016-1024,9.DOI:10.13284/j.cnki.rddl.20230994

台风风暴潮与上游洪水耦合作用下温州飞云江感潮河段潮水位模拟研究

Simulation Study of Tidal Water Levels in Tidal Reach of the Wenzhou's Feiyun River under Coupled Influence of Typhoon Storm Surges and Upstream Floods

魏国振 1任明磊 2孙琳 3夏志昌 4陈智洋 4尤再进5

作者信息

  • 1. 中国水利水电科学研究院,水利部防洪抗旱减灾工程技术研究中心,北京 100038||大连海事大学,港口与航运协同创新中心,辽宁 大连 116026
  • 2. 中国水利水电科学研究院,水利部防洪抗旱减灾工程技术研究中心,北京 100038||水利部京津冀水安全保障重点实验室,北京 100038
  • 3. 中国水利水电科学研究院,水利部防洪抗旱减灾工程技术研究中心,北京 100038
  • 4. 温州市水旱灾害防御中心,浙江 温州 325000
  • 5. 大连海事大学,港口与航运协同创新中心,辽宁 大连 116026
  • 折叠

摘要

Abstract

Against the backdrop of rapid global climate change,the frequency and severity of storm surges in coastal areas are increasing,particularly in tidal river segments that are affected by storm surges and upstream river flooding.Although existing storm surge models have introduced a variety of different boundary settings,the boundary conditions provided are limited and cannot meet the current generalization needs of complex hydraulic engineering projects in China.This study considered the Feiyun River Basin as the research subject and coupled the upstream hydrodynamic model IFMS with the oceanic storm surge model ADCIRC.By utilizing the strengths of both models,a flood evolution model for the estuarine tidal river segment was established,enabling the spatiotemporal simulation of tidal levels in the Feiyun River tidal segment.The model not only effectively considers the impact of storm surge propagation at the estuary on flood evolution in the tidal river segment,but also the effect of upstream river flooding on the area.The study first validated the model with Typhoon Meranti in 2016,where the simulation results showed a high degree of agreement with the observed data series and errors were within acceptable limits.Flood processes at the Ruian,Mayu,Bishan Liqiao,and Dongtou tidal stations during Typhoons Doksuri and Khanun were simulated.The results show that the peak flood errors at all four stations were below 0.30 m,with Nash coefficients>0.80,indicating the model's capability to accurately reflect tidal level fluctuations and effectively contribute to disaster prevention and mitigation efforts in estuarine tidal segments.Finally,the study analyzed the impact of the driving forces of the upstream and downstream boundaries on tidal level predictions at three stations(Ruian,Mayu,and Bishan Liqiao).It was concluded that,compared to Mayu and Bishan Liqiao stations,the influence of the upstream boundary on Ruian can essentially be ignored,suggesting that the error from the upstream boundary under the influence of Typhoon Khanun is negligible for predicting errors at Ruian.The degree of the impact of the downstream boundary fluctuations on the three stations,from largest to smallest,was Ruian,Bishan Liqiao,and Mayu.Compared to the changes in the upstream boundary,the downstream boundary had a greater overall impact on all three stations.Additionally,when the downstream boundary changed by the same magnitude,the variation in low tide levels showed a decreasing trend from downstream to upstream,whereas the variation in high tide levels,although following the same trend,did not show a significant difference between the three.In summary,compared to the upstream boundary,the downstream boundary had a greater impact on tidal-level predictions at the three stations.The result shows that the lower boundary has a greater impact on the tidal level forecasts at three stations compared to the upper boundary.The study not only provides a new method for tidal river flood simulation in coastal urbanized areas but also offers directions for improving model simulation accuracy through analysis.

关键词

感潮河段/水动力模型/风暴潮模型/上游洪水/潮水位模拟

Key words

tidal river/hydrodynamic model/storm surge model/upstream river flooding/tidal level simulation

分类

海洋学

引用本文复制引用

魏国振,任明磊,孙琳,夏志昌,陈智洋,尤再进..台风风暴潮与上游洪水耦合作用下温州飞云江感潮河段潮水位模拟研究[J].热带地理,2024,44(6):1016-1024,9.

基金项目

中国博士后科学基金会面上项目"风暴潮与河流洪水耦合作用下海岸河口淹没灾害防控机制研究"(2023M740469) (2023M740469)

热带地理

OA北大核心CSTPCD

1001-5221

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