水土保持研究2024，Vol.31Issue(4)：275-287,13.DOI:10.13869/j.cnki.rswc.2024.04.018
黄河流域降碳—减污—扩绿—增长耦合协调的动态演进及其影响因素
Dynamic Evolution of Carbon Reduction-Pollution Reduction-Green Expansion-Economic Growth Coupling Coordination and Its Influencing Factors in the Yellow River Basin
摘要
Abstract
[Objective]The aims of this study are to explore the coupling and coordination of environmental protection and economic development in the Yellow River Basin and its influencing factors,so as to provide a theoretical reference for the high-quality development of the whole basin.[Methods]Based on the coupling coordination model,Dagum Gini coefficient,Markov chain and geographically weighted regression model,the spatiotemporal coupling dynamic evolution of carbon reduction-pollution reduction-green expansion-economic growth in the Yellow River Basin from 2009 to 2020 and its influencing factors were studied and analyzed.[Results](1)The coupling coordination degree of carbon reduction-pollution reduction-green expansion-economic growth in the Yellow River Basin showed generally a fluctuating upward trend.The coupling coordination degree was the largest in the lower reaches,followed by the middle reaches,and the least in the upper reaches.(2)The intraregional gap in the coupling coordination level of the upper reaches was significantly higher than that in the middle and lower reaches of the region.The gap between regions followed the order:upper and middle＞upper and lower＞middle and lower.The gap among regions and intensity of transvariation was the major source of the overall gap.(3)The coupling coordination degree of carbon reduction-pollution reduction-economic green expansion-economic growth system had the low fluidity,which had the stability of maintaining the original state.It was difficult to achieve leapfrog development evolution in a short period.(4)Industrial structure optimization can effectively promote the coupling coordinated development of the Yellow River Basin.Government intervention has an obvious role in promoting the coupling coordinated development of most provinces and regions.The effective combination of market demand and technological achievements can further improve the coupling coordination degree of the Yellow River Basin.[Conclusion]The overall spatiotemporal coupling of carbon reduction-pollution reduction-green expansion-economic growth in the Yellow River Basin is on the rise.The factors affecting the coordination degree of this system coupling are relatively complex.In the future,efforts should be made to optimize the industrial structure,to strengthen the transformation of technological achievements,and to promote the coordinated development of carbon reduction-pollution reduction-green expansion-economic growth in the Yellow River Basin.关键词
降碳—减污—扩绿—增长/时空耦合/黄河流域Key words
carbon reduction-pollution reduction-green expansion-economic growth/spatiotemporal coupling/Yellow River Basin分类
资源环境引用本文复制引用
崔新蕾,王艳融,马艳茹..黄河流域降碳—减污—扩绿—增长耦合协调的动态演进及其影响因素[J].水土保持研究,2024,31(4):275-287,13.基金项目
国家自然科学基金(42361046) （42361046）
教育部人文社会科学研究资助项目(22YJA630010) （22YJA630010）
内蒙古自治区自然科学基金面上项目(2022MS07023) （2022MS07023）
内蒙古自治区高等学校"青年科技英才支持项目"(NJYT23123) （NJYT23123）
内蒙古自治区直属高校基本科研业务费(20700-54220384) （20700-54220384）
