饲料研究2024，Vol.47Issue(10)：181-184,4.DOI:10.13557/j.cnki.issn1002-2813.2024.10.034
宏观经济不确定性对肉羊产业链价格的影响
Impact of economic policy uncertainty on price of mutton sheep industry chain
摘要
Abstract
Macroeconomic uncertainty is one of the important factors affecting the price of the mutton sheep industry chain.Using monthly data on the price of the mutton sheep industry chain from June 2011 to June 2022 as the research sample,the VAR model is used to test the impact of macroeconomic uncertainty on the price of the mutton sheep industry chain through impulse response function and variance decomposition.The results indicate that macroeconomic uncertainty helps stabilize the prices of the mutton sheep industry chain.The response period of macroeconomic uncertainty to the price impact of the mutton sheep industry chain is two years,and the contribution rate of macroeconomic uncertainty to the mutton sheep industry chain price in the second year is about 6.924 5％.Based on this,countermeasures and suggestions are proposed to improve the circulation mechanism of the mutton sheep market,establish a price monitoring system for the mutton sheep industry chain,and promote moderate scale mutton sheep breeding,in order to promote the sustainable development of the mutton sheep industry.关键词
宏观经济不确定性/肉羊产业链价格/VAR模型/脉冲响应函数Key words
macroeconomic uncertainty/price of mutton sheep industry chain/VAR model/impulse response function分类
农业科技引用本文复制引用
王文平..宏观经济不确定性对肉羊产业链价格的影响[J].饲料研究,2024,47(10):181-184,4.基金项目
重庆市高等教育学会课题(项目编号:CQGJ21B163) （项目编号:CQGJ21B163）
