铁道运输与经济2024，Vol.46Issue(6)：161-168,8.DOI:10.16668/j.cnki.issn.1003-1421.2024.06.20
基于ISM-ANP的铁路外部环境安全隐患风险评价模型及应用
Risk Evaluation Model of Safety Hazards in Railway External Environment Based on ISM-ANP and Its Application
摘要
Abstract
Safety hazards in the railway external environment are scattered in distribution,complex in types,and different in attributes,which brings challenges to their investigation and rectification.In order to realize the quantitative risk evaluation of safety hazards in the railway external environment,monomer hazard was taken as the research object.By analyzing the occurrence rules and accident cause mechanisms of risk events caused by safety hazards in the railway external environment,a universal risk evaluation index system for 18 major categories of safety hazards in the railway external environment was constructed.Interpretive structural model(ISM)was used to analyze the influence relationship among the various indicators and establish a hierarchical network structure.By combining the analytic network process(ANP)to determine the weight values of indicators,a geographic information system(GIS)was used to express the risk level of safety hazards in the railway external environment in a geographic space.The effectiveness of the evaluation model was verified by taking the color steel houses as an example.The results indicate that the model comprehensively considers the correlation information between hazard evaluation indicators and improves the evaluation accuracy compared with the calculation method of simple superposition of hazard attributes,providing a theoretical basis for further improving the decision-making of investigation and rectification work for safety hazards in railway external environment.关键词
铁路/外部环境/运营安全/ISM-ANP模型/风险评价/地理信息系统Key words
Railway/External Environment/Operation Safety/ISM-ANP Model/Risk Evaluation/Geographic Information System分类
交通工程引用本文复制引用
宋国策,王高磊,卢大玮,周文明..基于ISM-ANP的铁路外部环境安全隐患风险评价模型及应用[J].铁道运输与经济,2024,46(6):161-168,8.基金项目
中国国家铁路集团有限公司科技研究开发计划课题(N2022T003) （N2022T003）
中国铁路设计集团有限公司科技研究开发课题(2022A02401003) （2022A02401003）
